Tony Cherniawski | TalkMarkets | Page 1
President, CIO at The Practical Investor, LLC
Contributor's Links: The Practical Investor
Anthony M. Cherniawski is a principal of TPI. He has a Bachelor of Communication Arts degree from Michigan State University (1972). His business experience is as follows: Tony Cherniawski’s early success in the investment business came from a chance meeting with Sir John Templeton ...more

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Futures Tumbled Overnight
NDX futures tumbled to 17038.70 overnight on news of a battle between Israel and Iran.
USD Futures: New Low Overnight
USD futures made a modest new low overnight but appear to be reversing as it may resume the rally. The Cycles Model suggests trending strength may be on the rise this weekend and into next week.
Sentiment Is Euphoric
The sentiment is euphoric as stocks may be about to make gains in 14 out of 15 past weeks.
VIX Futures: On The Rise
VIX futures are on the rise, making a new high at 13.34.
SPX Futures: Back To A Flat Position
Today may remain flat on weak volume as the book for 2023 is closed for many. The rising trendline and the 1987 trendline bot reside at 4750.00.
NDX Futures: Relentless March
NDX futures continued their relentless march higher, to 16393.70 thus far. The intended target may be the Cycle Top at 16638.79.
NDX Futures Rose
NDX futures rose to an overnight high of 15918.60, less than 14 points from the all-time high
NDX Futures Consolidating
NDX futures have been consolidating near the top of yesterday’s trading range overnight, but are coming down this morning.
SPX Futures Decline
SPX futures declined to a morning low of 4345.70 and are hovering near their lows. The nearest known support is the Minor Wave 4 low at 4335.00. 
SPX Futures Rose After A 6-Day Decline
SPX futures rose this morning over its 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 4401.00 after a 6-day decline and a 3-day rally.
SPX Futures Have Challenged The Rising Trendline
Aggressive signals offer a high risk, high reward pivot point at which volatility is still capable of taking either direction.
SPX Futures: Small Gain
SPX futures are higher, nearly reaching the 50-Day Moving Average at 4012.62. This appears to be an effort to end the quarter on a positive note, no matter how small the gain.
SPX Futures: Above The Descending Trendline
SPX futures are now above the descending trendline, making a new high at 4041.00. Yesterday’s fake-out challenged the 200-day Moving Average at 2961.61, then bounced to the trendline at the close.
Short Gamma Suppressing The VIX
VIX futures appear stuck at the lower end of yesterday’s trading range. This may be due to the weekly op-ex this morning. At the last count, there were 40,229 put contracts with a strike at 21.00 expiring this morning. 
A Review Of Indices In The New Year
Now that the new year has begun, let's briefly review some of the latest market action for various indices. I will be spending time on analysis and corrections that may lead to better forecasting and a more accurate placement of our position.
Headlines To Take You Through Xmas
The Fed’s favorite inflation indicator – Core PCE Deflator – printed slightly hotter than expected in November +4.7% YoY vs +4.6% exp (MoM was in-line at +0.2% after an upward revision for October)…
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