Macro for Civilians. Sharing successes and failures in the 30 year hunt for acorns in the markets. Finance observations are hit and miss. Dad jokes guaranteed.
Macro for Civilians. Sharing successes and failures in the 30 year hunt for acorns in the markets. Finance observations are hit and miss. Dad jokes guaranteed.
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Scrooge McSquirrel; Monetizing Polarization; A Convex Play On Gold
Thanks Ayelet! Even a blind squirrel finds an acorn (a good trade) from time to time! 🐿️👍
The Strange Death Of Silicon Valley Bank
Great article, Martin. Apart from SVB's ALCO failings, I am not sure enough attention has gone to SVB's somewhat loose interpretation of anti-tying regulations. It seems like quite a lot of the deposits were there for reasons other than corporate treasury apathy...
CoCo Pops: Only Half Price? Some Thoughts On Bank Capital
Thanks Duanne
CoCo Pops: Only Half Price? Some Thoughts On Bank Capital
Hi Harry. Even a blind squirrel finds an acorn (in my case a decent investment hopefully!) from time to time.
Squirrel In The Matrix
As I wrote, Powell has a very tough week. Hiking while banks are blowing up is not a good look but neither is uncontrolled inflation. With respect to the financial system, we operate in a fractional reserve banking system (and have done for 1000s of years). That system requires trust which is in short supply when depositors start losing money. I don't think we have seen the last failure yet.
Squirrel In The Matrix
I am in the transition from thinking it was all a bit early / gimmicky to beginning to think that it has major societal and investment implications. Not clear to me yet that there are any 'long' investment plays yet. For example, any 'AI opportunity' within NVDA already seems fully priced to me.
Squirrel In The Matrix
Thanks. The cover image for this week’s note was generated by MidJourney’s image generator with the prompt: “Blind Squirrel bending over backwards to dodge bullets from The Agents in slow motion using the bullet time effect as in the scene from The Matrix movie. Hyper - realistic. Image inspiration: [link to still image of Keanu Reeves in the movie on the web].”