Gold drops into a major cycle low approximately every 8-years. The last cycle low was in 2008. Prices should bottom in the first quarter of 2017, and a new bull run will begin. The dollar should make a significant top in the first half of 2017.

Hi Gary - I agree that the destiny higher is sealed. My cycle work is at a critical turning point, and if prices are going to correct even further, we will know soon. What a fantastic opportunity to invest if they do!

Hi Aleh,

Precious metals and miners are currently at a fork-in-the-road. The bullish view would have a low form around this level followed by a rally above $26.00, and then to new highs. However, the bearish view maintains a breach of the October lows followed by a 30% decline into January/February. The direction they take likely hinges upon the US Presidential election results. Therefore, I would hold off on investing in miners (GDX is a diversified precious metal mining ETF) until we know what track prices have chosen.

Hi Cynthia,

No- I haven't noticed much deviation. Sometimes the cycle arrives before the election but more often than not just after. However, this cycle may have terminated early because of negative interest rates in Japan, Germany, Switzerland, etc. The month of November is key: If gold prices are unable to sustain a move above $1,315, then we risk rolling over and dropping into the standard 8-year post-election timing window.