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Global Economic Intersection (Econintersect) focuses on the economic effects on finance, investing, social interactions, and politics / public policy.  It features original economic commentary, debate, and economic analysis of economic indicators.  It features original ... more


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Fiscal Year Ended With $984M Deficit. New Fiscal Year Deficit On Track To Top $1T.
In fiscal year 2019, which ended on September 30, the federal budget deficit totaled $984 billion—$205 billion more than the shortfall recorded in 2018.
Mexico's Economic Outlook Revised Down Further As Growth Disappoints
Mexico’s gross domestic product (GDP) declined 0.5 percent in the first half of the year, its weakest growth in six years.
The Economics Of Counterfeit Money
The supply of money in the economy is determined by the demand for money which, in turn, is determined by the demand for credit. This idea, however, leaves out what is actually a rather important component: counterfeiting.
October 2019 Job Cuts Increase
Job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers jumped to 50,275 in October, 20.97% higher than the 41,557 announced in September.
September 2019 Headline New Home Sales Slow
The headlines say new home sales slowed month-over-month. Median and average sales prices were down.
Most Unemployed People In 2018 Did Not Apply For Unemployment Insurance Benefits
In 2018, 77 percent of the unemployed people who had worked in the previous 12 months had not applied for unemployment insurance benefits since their last job.
How Well Do Yield Curve Inversion Models Predict Recessions In Other Countries?
A yield curve inversion occurs when the yield on longer-term securities is lower than shorter-term securities.
Has Australia Really Had A 28-Year Expansion?
In July, the U.S. officially entered its longest expansion on record. Naturally, many are wondering if the expansion is sustainable. When asking this question, many turn to the Australian case.
China Is A Low Productivity Superpower
In the space of just a few decades, China has risen to become a world and certainly an Asian regional power. And now China and the US have locked horns in a great power struggle over trade.
What Will The Conventional Wisdom In Economics Be After 2008?
This piece was written almost exactly 6 years ago. Since the author was at that time speculating about the future, it is most interesting to observe how well he hit (or how poorly he missed) the mark.
August 2019 CBO Monthly Budget Review: Total Receipts: Up By 3 Percent In The First 11 Months Of The Fiscal Year
The federal budget deficit was $1,067 billion for the first 11 months of the fiscal year 2019, the Congressional Budget Office estimates - $168 billion more than the deficit recorded during the same period last year.
August 2019 Consumer Expectations: Inflation Expectation Falls To A Series Low
Expectations for one year ahead inflation, home prices changes, and changes in the price of medical care and rent all reached new series lows.
Slowing Home Price Growth Enters 15th Month
According to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index, home prices in the United States grew by 3.1% in June.
Why Is The Bank Of Japan The Largest Asset Holder Among Major Central Banks?
In many countries, the financial crisis and its aftermath led to undesirably low levels of inflation and high levels of unemployment.
The U.S. Housing Market's Evolution During The Current Economic Expansion
Homeownership is considered a crucial step to wealth accumulation.
July 2019 Small Business Optimism Continues To Defy Expectations
Optimism among small business owners bounced back in July as expectations for business conditions, real sales, and expansion made solid gains.
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