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Global Economic Intersection (Econintersect) focuses on the economic effects on finance, investing, social interactions, and politics / public policy.  It features original economic commentary, debate, and economic analysis of economic indicators.  It features original ... more


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The Grief Pandemic Will Torment Americans For Years
With nearly 600,000 in the U.S. lost to COVID-19 - now a leading cause of death - researchers estimate that more than 5 million Americans are in mourning, including more than 43,000 children who have lost a parent.
May 2021 Chemical Activity Barometer Index Continues To Improve
The Chemical Activity Barometer (CAB), a leading economic indicator created by the American Chemistry Council (ACC), rose 1.2% in May on a three-month moving average (3MMA) basis following a 1.0% increase in April.
April 2021 Survey Of Consumer Expectations: Inflation Expectations Increase In The Short-Term
Median year-ahead inflation expectations increased to 3.4% in April from 3.2% in March, while remaining unchanged at 3.1% at the three-year horizon.
Reducing Debt Via A Modern Debt Jubilee
The world is drowning in debt, and the situation is only getting worse - especially after COVID. All types of debt - government, household and corporate - have been rising, relative to GDP, in almost all countries.
The Yield Curve As A Predictor Of Future Growth
In recent weeks, the steepening yield curve has become a topic of conversation among market participants.
February 2021 CoreLogic Single-Family Rents: Rent Prices Continue To Spike
The Single-Family Rent Index which analyzes single-family rent price changes nationally and across major metropolitan areas, for Feb. 2021 shows a national rent increase of 3.9% year over year, up from a 3% year-over-year increase in February 2020.
March 2021 Labor Market Survey: Employment Expectations Again Improve
The proportion of individuals who reported searching for a job in the past four weeks rebounded to 20.3 percent in March 2021 from 17.8 percent in November 2020. The increase was primarily driven by women.
Collapsing Labor Force Participation: A Secular Trend
The ongoing recovery appears to be relatively robust in terms of headline figures. In reality, it has been nothing but the return to trends that persisted before the pandemic - trends that are extremely worrying.
Power And The Dialect Of Economics
If you've ever taken Economics 101,you probably heard the words 'supply and demand' and 'marginal utility' uttered hundreds of times. As you figured out what these words meant, you gradually learned to speak a dialect that I call econospeak.
Capital Flow Surges And Rising Income Inequality
Surges of foreign investment into developing countries can amplify economic stress and potentially undermine their financial stability.
Who Pays What First? Debt Prioritization During The COVID Pandemic
Household debt has increased from a low of $11 trillion in 2013 to more than $14 trillion in 2020.
America's Scariest Charts Updated: U.S. Employment Situation
The scariest chart compares the Employment Index plots for each of the previous eleven recession-recovery cycles since World War II.
March 2021 Job Cuts Trend Lower
Job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers fell 86% in March to 30,603 from the 222,288 job cuts announced in the same month last year, when the fallout from the COVID-19 lockdowns began to impact businesses across the country.
GDP Growth Is Good But Normalcy Is Still Far Away
Under normal economic circumstances a report like this would be cause for -- if not celebration -- at least some smug sense of contentment. However, these are times of significant economic displacements, and normalcy is at least a few quarters away.
Has Krugman Finally Turned On ISLM?
Back in 2013 Paul Krugman, as part of an ongoing debate with MMT/MMR advocate Cullen Roche, said that the ISLM is not a good approach to macroeconomics. Hurrah! Right? Well, maybe not.
February 2021 Headline New Home Sales Significantly Slow
The headlines say new home sales significantly declined month-over-month. The overall sales-to-date in 2021 is better than any other year since 2006 - but the slowing of growth is swift and likely will continue to decelerate in the coming months.
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