The Economic Effects on Finance, Investing, Social Interactions, and Politics
Contributor's Links: Global Economic Intersection

Global Economic Intersection (Econintersect) focuses on the economic effects on finance, investing, social interactions, and politics / public policy.  It features original economic commentary, debate, and economic analysis of economic indicators.  It features original ... more

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Wringing The Overoptimism From FOMC Growth Forecasts
Growth forecasts by Federal Open Market Committee meeting participants were persistently too optimistic for 2008 through 2016. In contrast, forecasts for 2017 through 2019 started low but were revised up over time.
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Technological Change And The U.S.'s Trade Surplus In Services
Along with the global expansion of trade of the last 50 years, the U.S. has exhibited a large deficit in the balance in the international trade of goods.
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4Q2019 Report On Household Debt And Credit: Household Debt Continues To Rise; Mortgage Originations Hit 14-Year High
Total household debt balances grew by $193 billion in the fourth quarter, marking a $601 billion increase in household debt balances in 2019, the largest annual gain since 2007.
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January 2020 Consumer Expectations: Inflation Expectations Hold Steady As Year Opens
Consumers remain optimistic about labor market outcomes with year-ahead earnings growth, job finding, and job loss expectations all improving. The average expectation of an increase in U.S. stock prices continued on its upward trend.
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Countries In The IMF Financial Spotlight In 2020
In 2020, the IMF plans to assess the stability of twelve financial systems.
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Outlook For Latin America And The Caribbean: New Challenges To Growth
Economic activity in Latin America and the Caribbean stagnated in 2019, continuing with the weak growth momentum of the previous five years and adding more urgency and new challenges to reignite growth.
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Betting On India
5 years ago
I am a foreigner who lives in India about 6 months a year. there is a theory that a ship runs smoother if all rowers are rowing in the same direction - even if it is wrong. At this point Rajan is the rower trying to move the ship in the opposite direction. It is significantly easier to slow an economy down than speed it up - in fact, i see no evidence from anywhere in the world that monetary policy can be used to accelerate an economy. Rajan's policies are a brake on the indian economy.
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