The Fed knew about the housing bubble before it burst but lied and said they didn't: Bill HR 1424 to buy bad paper (eventually called TARP) was introduced in March 9, 2007, before there began to be bad commercial paper from private subprime RE loans, in August. I have published on two other ...
more The Fed knew about the housing bubble before it burst but lied and said they didn't: Bill HR 1424 to buy bad paper (eventually called TARP) was introduced in March 9, 2007, before there began to be bad commercial paper from private subprime RE loans, in August. I have published on two other prominent financial websites, Seekingalpha.com (as Gary A) and at Businessinsider.com. I muckrake the banking system and found premeditated causes for the housing bubble and subsequent meltdown. I am married with 4 grown children.
Specialties: Impacts of politics on the economy, interpreting economists, writing about the negative impact of some aspects of globalization and pros and cons of the new normal. I don't like tariff wars. Email bgamall at gmail
less
Latest Comments
Will Derivatives Be The Next Black Swan?
I think that the central bankers are very comfortable with derivatives. That is a place where we need a fly on the wall, at Basel meetings talking about derivatives. Basel is seeking more collateral for derivatives and is succeeding somewhat. But unfortunately, it causes bonds to be in ever more massive demand as collateral. But it is a little collateral for a whole lot of derivatives, so, there could be something that the central banks cannot deal with. However, they planned and took down the housing bubble so they probably think they can control derivatives as well. JMO.
BoE: All Members Shared The Same Opinion
I trust buying assets will push long bond rates even closer to negative. You would think the central banks would listen to Eric Lonergan and stop this folly of buying scarce bonds, already made scarce because of their use as collateral for derivatives.
Buffett Versus Icahn: "Wall Street Rules" In Action
Well, I guess it is hard to quantify, but they are talking about just under 10 trillion dollars of treasury bonds needed as collateral.
SolarCity: Eclipsed
Well, in Nevada Solar City and others are no longer allowed to sponge off the mainstream power company. Solar City packed up and left. Same state where the Tesla plant is being built, Lol. So, bottom line, you (Musk) can't come into Nevada and try to screw people with Solar City while building Tesla. JMO.
Modern Elasticity And The Appearance Of Quasi-Money
The Fed only cares about the banks. It could have saved the middle class, but refused to do so by keeping interbank lending alive. It refused to buy paper in the commercial paper market that funded real estate. It refused to stop mark to market from being applied. In short, the Fed does evil at every turn, almost. It allowed the mispricing of risk for MBSs to proceed, and then crashed everything on the back end far more than was necessary.
Disturbed In Japan
The BOJ is out of options, unless the cowardly Japanese central bankers go with this: www.talkmarkets.com/.../responsibly-expand-the-monetary-base-before-it-is-too-late
Bonds (& VIX) Ain't Buying It
Bonds are influenced by massive demand as collateral in derivatives markets, so it is hard to tell if it is an accurate measure anymore. Vix could be better.
Is This What ‘The End Of The Great Debt Cycle’ Looks Like?
Japan has not done enough. Time for debt free helicopter money, Jesse: www.talkmarkets.com/.../responsibly-expand-the-monetary-base-before-it-is-too-late As far as China is concerned, they will have to devalue, looks like.
Expectations Of Inflation
It is funny that the Fed watches inflation, but then doesn't get to its target. In the meantime NGDP is slowing and surely the Fed has a plan for all this potential economic fallout. Or maybe it doesn't have a plan.
Are Electric Cars A Threat To The Oil Industry?
I hope they aren't. The disruption, economically, would be catastrophic. You think we are stuck in negative rates and negative bonds now. Wait til oil is destroyed as an industry. Also, likely world war could be the result. Musk has also said, twice, that manually driven cars should be banned. So, electric cars are a vehicle, so to speak, for the introduction of the self driving car. That is a danger to the freedom of all of us.
You have a fascinating take on Lithium scarcity.