The Fed knew about the housing bubble before it burst but lied and said they didn't: Bill HR 1424 to buy bad paper (eventually called TARP) was introduced in March 9, 2007, before there began to be bad commercial paper from private subprime RE loans, in August. I have published on two other ...
more The Fed knew about the housing bubble before it burst but lied and said they didn't: Bill HR 1424 to buy bad paper (eventually called TARP) was introduced in March 9, 2007, before there began to be bad commercial paper from private subprime RE loans, in August. I have published on two other prominent financial websites, Seekingalpha.com (as Gary A) and at Businessinsider.com. I muckrake the banking system and found premeditated causes for the housing bubble and subsequent meltdown. I am married with 4 grown children.
Specialties: Impacts of politics on the economy, interpreting economists, writing about the negative impact of some aspects of globalization and pros and cons of the new normal. I don't like tariff wars. Email bgamall at gmail
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Krugman Admits He Is Clueless. That Progress Will Be Short-Lived
Mish, government did quite well in building Hoover Dam. I would not say that government is incapable of forcing economic growth with projects. Only libertarians with a doctrine that doesn't fit the success shown regarding large projects would forget about the Hoover Damn.
An argument that government is a bit too weak these days. However, I don't think stimulus that causes interest rates to rise too quickly because of structured finance is a good idea. But Trump wants massive stimulus, so perhaps Trump is closer to Krugman on this subject than to you! Not saying either are right.
Projecting A Fed Rate Path
Prof, Alan #Greenspan has been reading you. He says #stagflation is his fear, which you seem to be saying as well. Killing the collateral could make things even worse than that.
New Rules Will Derail Europe’s Financial System In 2018
So, banks are hoarding #bonds for this new rule and #banks are hoarding bonds as non banking financial institutions play a dangerous game of basing their collateral stability on equities as collateral. That appears to be another slippery slope: www.talkmarkets.com/.../bizarre-collateral-in-securities-lending-exposed-by-bank-of-mellon
Deutsche Warns Of Imminent "Domino Impact" For Stocks From Bond Carnage, Soaring Dollar
We know #bonds are used for collateral in derivatives markets. They must bolster #derivatives bets that may protect stock positions. If that is really huge, then the stock market could be constrained from going much higher. The new normal may be changing the relationship between stocks and bonds.
Bond Summary: Of Tightening, Tapering And Trump
Everybody who is interested in bonds should read this article.
Over $1 Trillion In Bond Losses In Days: Second Worst Week Ever
Even the housing #bubble of the last decade could not overcome the conundrum over time.
US Market Update: Trump Towers
Great article, Gary! Hope is that a little #inflation and reflation would cause banks to lend, but if Trump wants massive inflation and a housing #bubble he could hurt the economy and make the coming recession far worse.
‘Helicopter Money President’ Trump To Create Inflation And Gold Will Rise
Articles like these set back the true understanding of what #HelicopterMoney really is. It is not deficit spending. It is a monetary action, not a governmental action. www.talkmarkets.com/.../helicopter-money-is-being-misrepresented-by-bill-gross-and-others Having said that, Old Mitch in the senate seems cool to big deficit spending.
Election Forecasting Vs. Recession Nowcasting
Perhaps people underestimate the New Normal, with wages as part of GDP being down compared to capital formation, compared to any recovery in the past. That does not bode well for continued expansion.
Voters Have Spoken, Now Markets Speak: Part II
Two issues for me. The senate is not interested in infrastructure programs or it will look like it stopped Obama on purpose. Second, Lambert says we are at the end of the business cycle, so it would seem like the party is over before it starts.