The Fed knew about the housing bubble before it burst but lied and said they didn't: Bill HR 1424 to buy bad paper (eventually called TARP) was introduced in March 9, 2007, before there began to be bad commercial paper from private subprime RE loans, in August. I have published on two other ...
more The Fed knew about the housing bubble before it burst but lied and said they didn't: Bill HR 1424 to buy bad paper (eventually called TARP) was introduced in March 9, 2007, before there began to be bad commercial paper from private subprime RE loans, in August. I have published on two other prominent financial websites, Seekingalpha.com (as Gary A) and at Businessinsider.com. I muckrake the banking system and found premeditated causes for the housing bubble and subsequent meltdown. I am married with 4 grown children.
Specialties: Impacts of politics on the economy, interpreting economists, writing about the negative impact of some aspects of globalization and pros and cons of the new normal. I don't like tariff wars. Email bgamall at gmail
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Reconciling Krugman Vs Kelton
Kelton is like Trump. They want to bust open the New Normal and force the Fed to forget about ever causing recessions. They believe low rates allow bigger deficits. The Fed will never forget about causing recessions. Has the Fed done a bad job? Has the Fed pulled the inflation trigger a little too early? Of course. But MMT certainly is not the answer. Still, demand is low. We have a form of austerity. Austerity can kill economies too. If we reject MMT there should be something else, like helicopter money.
The Wage Decoupling Mess
Another interesting article. But clearly, the Fed itself measures the worker's share of GDP. Obviously the Fed thinks it is an important measurement. I don't think it can be dismissed. And it is in a steady decline, with blips up prior to recessions. So, it seems like a worthwhile measurement. And it is obvious from the Fred chart that prosperity for workers has been in decline in relation to GDP: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/W270RE1A156NBEA
Could The Worst Be Behind China And Germany? Or, Hope Springs Eternal
I don't quite understand how Europe has turned a corner while PMI remains below 50, Marc. Certainly building inventory and lower consumption is not a good thing for the USA, as you point out.
The Controversy Around Stock Buybacks Explained
Interesting article, but it ignores the lack of investment by these companies who are busy buying back their shares. Investment is lagging. And the insiders know how to get out of the possible massive stock declines early, resulting from this speculation without investment, while the average 401k guy is toast, especially if older.
The Canadian Recession Has Started And It Is Time To Consider Rate Cuts
Second chart is very chilling. The central bank pines for rates to go up, prof, likely because they are not high enough to avoid negative later. Since the ten year yield is really low, under 2 percent, the entire edifice is being supported by house appreciation and the ability to roll over the loans. This appears to me, as an outsider, to be very precarious. Any interference by China due to Meng could be devastating to the nation. This is just my opinion, as I am no expert on Canada.
Tax Cuts A Year Later – Did They Deliver As Promised?
Marco Rubio and Pence were deceived. In order for the tax cuts to work, they would have had to included mandated investment. That isn't socialism, just common sense. Don't want to do that, then don't steal from the nation with tax cuts for the wealthy!
Master Cycle Highs
This arguement linking MMT to socialism is misleading. MMT was also a favorite of capitalist and totalitarian Richard Cheney when he was at war. Remember, it was a Republican who popularized the notion, as Cortez was growing up, that deficits don't matter. So, making it all on the left is just not honest. Cortez is 29. She would have been 14 when Cheney said that in 2002. MMT is wrong, period, on both sides of the aisle.
Trump Walks Away From North Korea. Should Beijing Worry?
We have to assume that Trump is all hat and no cattle.
The Doomsday Scenario For The Stock And Housing Bubbles
High priced buyers are vanishing.
Keynesianism, NeoFisherism, And MMT
Most of the time, lower rates are proof of contraction, but not always. But MMTers say lower rates are proof that we could be running bigger deficits, expanding more. But what if that is wrong? MMT could get us into a lot of trouble as a nation.