Daniel Amerman, CFA Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Financial Analyst & Author
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Daniel R. Amerman is a Chartered Financial Analyst and the author of a number of books on finance and economics.

Articles by Mr. Amerman or referencing his work have appeared in numerous publications and websites, including Reuters, MarketWatch, U.S. News & World Report, MSN Money, ... more

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Combining Three Distinct Sources Of Inflation
The rolling average 3 month rate of inflation in the United States has now reached 10.7%. This is an important number as it represents the first time that we have a full three months of inflation data - March, April, and May.
The Historical Case For A 70% Real Stock Market Loss Over 14 Years
The Nasdaq stock index officially entered the bear market stage as of late April of 2022, with prices down 23% from its November 2021 high. These losses have continued into May, reaching 29.3% by May 20, 2022.
A 15.4% Annualized Rate Of Inflation
We currently have two distinct sources of inflation, with the first being the previous supply chain-driven inflation, and the second being the inflation from the Ukrainian War and the related sanctions.
Inflation, Stocks & Seeing A 70% Loss
While events are still changing very rapidly, there is a chance that the war in Ukraine will lead to some of the highest rates of inflation in the United States of our lifetimes.
The Hidden 95% Of The Risk
The current very popular groupthink is that the Fed gets its money by printing the money. The slightly more complicated reality is that money printing is not the primary source. The Fed gets its money by borrowing the money. 
Using Our Money To Steal Our Money
We have effectively zero percent interest rates. This translates to fast and painful monthly decreases in purchasing power that are occurring right now for anyone who has money in the bank, or in a money market fund.
The Money Printing Myth & The Raid On Our Bank Accounts
Where the Federal Reserve gets its money is perhaps one of the most misunderstood of all financial topics. It's also vital - because if the Fed is to finance the national debt, it needs to have sources for that money.
Rising Inflation Is Punishing Savers With Deeply Negative Real Interest Rates
The combination of too many dollars chasing too few goods is a classic formula for inflation, and on a rolling average basis, we have indeed experienced the highest rates of inflation that we have seen in the last forty years.
Four Month Inflation Rate Hits 40 Year High
Four strong inflationary months in a row, March through June of 2021, have produced an annualized rate of inflation of 9.18%. This is the highest four-month rate the United States has seen in 40 years.
The Fed Pawns A Trillion Dollars Of The National Debt To Raise Cash
It will be abundantly clear with hindsight that having all of one's retirement savings invested in assets that are dependent on the indefinite continuation of artificial and highly elevated markets would turn out to be the mistake of a lifetime.
The Critical Risk Of Simultaneous Inflation & Deflation
When we look to history for answers about whether it will be inflation or deflation, then one very strong possible alternative is to say - that is the wrong question.
Climate Change & Court-Ordered Inflation
Court-ordered inflation would set off a mathematical process of the destruction of wealth and standard of living for those who are not prepared.
EC Current & Future Supply Side Inflation Shocks
Surging inflation is currently hitting the United States - but it isn't the kind of inflation that many people believe it is. Inflation can arise from a number of different sources, and money creation is only one of the sources.
The Gold To Housing Ratio As A Valuation Indicator
The Gold to Housing ratio is a quite useful measure for comparing the relative values of single family homes and gold, and it also has an interesting historical track record for identifying turning points in long-term gold price trends.
HH Two Centuries Of National Debt In One Year: Putting 2020 In Perspective
The U.S. national debt reached $27.7 trillion by the end of 2020. There was an unprecedented degree of government borrowing to try to limit the damage from the economic shutdowns and the overall COVID pandemic.
The Magnitude Of Long Term Profits In A Gold Secular Cycle
Gold has recently been setting all-time highs on a nominal basis and has broken the $2,000 an ounce barrier. It had been eight years since a new high had been set, and this is obviously an important event.
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