David Kotok Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Chairman and CIO, Cumberland Advisors
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David R. Kotok co-founded Cumberland Advisors in 1973 and has been its Chief Investment Officer since inception. He holds a B.S. in economics from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, an M.S. in organizational dynamics from The School of Arts ... more


Latest Posts
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Qindao; Canada; Florida
This not how to turn the economy around. Governor DeSantis, you’re in a hole. It’s getting deeper. Stop digging!
Jobs – Where Do We Stand Now?
Two key issues in the upcoming election are jobs and the economy. Given their importance, it is appropriate to review exactly where we are on these issues.
China And Wall Street – Decoupling Or Linking?
It is fortunate that financial relations between the US and China have not broken down in substance. Both sides have much to gain from continuing the détente that has been hard-won over years.
Muni Bonds Turn Toward The Election
With the presidential election a month away, we start to mull over what the bond market might look like post-election day.
FOMC: Hope Now Seems To Be A Strategy
The argument is that at 2% the Fed has room to make policy changes when needed, without resorting to negative interest rates. But a 2% target, if achieved, is a high-cost option to preserve policy flexibility.
JOLTS – July
What the data suggest going forward is that once a vaccine is developed and people gain confidence in their safety, the Leisure and Hospitality and Retail segments should bounce back.
Insider Trading – The Case Of Energy
Undoubtedly, corporate insiders possess an informational advantage over outsiders. The advantage is negatively correlated with firm size.
Insider Trading — What Does It Tell Us?
Insider trading often refers to acting on material nonpublic information. However, when company employees buy and sell their own stocks, it is also called insider trading, which is permitted by the SEC.
A Quick Look At Job Creation
Each month, the BLS produces a wealth of data from both its household survey and its establishment survey. The latter, in particular, gives us a view of where jobs are actually being created during this terrible pandemic.
Update On Fed Repo And Reverse Repo Facility
A measure of how last fall’s disruption in the repo market has subsided can be observed by the takedowns in the Fed’s repo facility, designed to enable dealers to temporarily finance their inventories of securities.
Chinese Economy: Global Locomotive But Significant Risks
China’s economy, the second-largest in the world after that of the United States, is recovering from a sharp slowdown in the first quarter of the year.
The Fed’s Corporate Credit Facility
On June 15, the Federal Reserve published revised terms and conditions for what it calls its Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility.
The Muni Selloff That Was
A look at the tax-free municipal bond market.
South Korea Vs. Brazil: Smart Policies And Practices Save Lives
There are sharp differences in the way countries have responded to the global pandemic caused by the COVID-19 virus.
Not What It Seems: Where’s The Beef?
The Fed truly is the 1000-pound gorilla in the economy and financial markets now.
The FOMC: Whatever (And However Long) It Takes
To no one’s surprise, the FOMC in its June meeting reaffirmed its 0–25 basis-point target for the federal funds rate.
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