Market Narrative With Supply And Demand

You do need a cunning plan in the markets. First, try to work out the controlling narrative. Second, see if it the market agrees with your opinion. Of course it is best that the market agrees with you before you act, otherwise that will be very lonely and most likely wrong.

Video length: 00:13:53

The chart in the video.


Fundamentals are important, and so is market timing. We believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to secure better timing than most, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.

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Moon Kil Woong 4 months ago Contributor's comment

The big worry over Apple is that it is losing its cell phone marketshare in Asia and that has always tended to spell bad news for the rest of the World sooner or later. Look at what happened to Motorola and Nokia for instance. However, it's not as bad as it looks. Some of it is artificial cause by Trumps trade war. And some of it is pricing that Apple has not addressed. Simply put, the market is more competitive with competing products and lower component costs yet Apple keeps pricing high. You can argue brand value but when it's expensive in the US it's not really affordable in China and other emerging countries.

I think this has been heavily considered in the low PE Apple trades for. However, as discounting in expectation and reality sets in I wouldn't want to play it. I'd rather wait until Apple takes the leap and discounts their handsets to pull their pricing into line with the rest of the handset market. That said, Apple is not a dead stock and certainly is not worth selling for huge capital gains tax here. It is a waiting game more than a sell as bears would tell you. I don't expect a big Apple run up in the next year unless the whole market runs. Then it doesn't matter. It will be a function of "are you in the market or not?"