Has Trade Policy Uncertainty Decreased A Lot?

Yes, but only because it was so extremely high recently.

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Yes, but only because it was so extremely high recently.

Figure 1: Top panel – Economic Policy Uncertainty – trade category (blue); Bottom panel – Trade Policy Uncertainty (blue). NBER defined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded gray. Source: policyuncertainty.com, Iacoviello, NBER.


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