PCE Inflation In September

September's PCE inflation data shows a divergence between the Cleveland Fed nowcast and Bloomberg consensus estimates.

Some divergence from Cleveland Fed nowcast vs. Bloomberg consensus:

Figure 1: PCE deflator (black), Cleveland Fed nowcast (red triangle), Bloomberg consensus on 10/25 (blue square). September nowcasts/forecasts using year-on-year changes. Source: BEA, Cleveland Fed, Bloomberg, and author’s calculations.

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