Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Nov. 14 And 21
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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
Week of November 14 |
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November 15 |
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Producer Price Index - October |
0.5% |
0.4 |
0.5 |
PPI less food, energy and trade services |
0.4 |
0.4 |
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NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
-6.0 |
-9.1 |
-7.0 |
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November 16 |
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Retail Sales - October |
0.7% |
0.0 |
0.9 |
Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas |
0.1 |
0.3 |
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Export Prices - October |
-0.5% |
-0.8 |
-0.2 |
Import Prices |
-0.5 |
-1.2 |
-0.4 |
Import Prices, ex-Energy |
-0.8 |
-0.5 |
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Industrial Production - October |
0.3% |
0.4 |
0.2 |
Capacity Utilization |
80.5 |
80.3 |
80.4 |
Manufacturing |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
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Business Inventories - September |
0.6% |
0.8 |
0.5 |
NAHB Index |
36 |
38 |
36 |
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November 17 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
225K |
225 |
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Housing Starts - October |
1.400M |
1.439 |
1.410 |
Building Permits |
1.505 |
1.564 |
1.515 |
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Philadelphia Fed Survey |
-6.0 |
-8.7 |
-5.0 |
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November 18 |
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Leading Indicators |
-0.4% |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
Existing Home Sales - October |
4.360M |
4.710 |
4.390 |
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Week of November 21 |
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November 21 |
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Chicago Fed National Activity Index - October |
0.10 |
0.10 |
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November 22 |
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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
6 |
-10 |
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November 23 |
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Durable Goods Sales - October |
0.3% |
0.4 |
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PMI Services Flash Index |
48.2 |
47.8 |
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PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
50.4 |
50.4 |
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New Home Sales - October |
575K |
603 |
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - November (r) |
54.7 |
54.7 |
More By This Author: Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Nov. 7 And 14 Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 31 And Nov. 7 Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 24 And 31
Peter Morici is an economist and emeritus business professor at the University of Maryland, and a national columnist.
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