Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of June 19 And 26
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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data |
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
Week of June 19 |
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June 19 |
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NAHB Index - June |
50 |
50 |
52 |
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June 20 |
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Housing Starts - May |
1.410M |
1.401 |
1.401 |
Building Permits |
1.435 |
1.416 |
1.425 |
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June 22 |
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Current Account - Q1 |
-$216.2 |
-206.8 |
216.9 |
Initial Unemployment Claims |
255K |
260 |
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Chicago Fed National Activity Index - May |
0.15 |
0.07 |
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Leading Indicators |
-0.4 |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
Existing Home Sales - May |
4.17K |
4.280 |
4.25 |
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June 23 |
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PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
49.5 |
48.4 |
48.3 |
PMI Services Flash Index |
55.0 |
54.9 |
54.0 |
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Week of June 26 |
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June 26 |
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Dallas Fed General Business Activity |
-20 |
-29.1 |
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June 27 |
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Durable Goods Orders - May |
-1.2% |
1.1 |
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S&P Case/Shiller Index - April |
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Twenty City M/M |
1.0% |
1.5 |
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Twenty City M/M - SA |
0.5 |
0.5 |
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Twenty City Y/Y |
-2.3 |
-1.1 |
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FHFA Home Price Index - April |
0.5% |
0.6 |
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Consumer Confidence |
103.5 |
102.3 |
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New Home Sales - May |
655K |
683 |
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June 28 |
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International Trade in Goods - May |
-$94.0B |
-98.8 |
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Wholesale Inventories - May (a) |
-0.1% |
-0.1 |
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June 29 |
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GDP - Q1 (f) |
1.4% |
1.3 |
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Pending Home Sales Index - May |
78.0 |
78.9 |
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June 30 |
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Personal Income - May |
0.4% |
0.4 |
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Personal Spending |
0.2 |
0.8 |
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Chicago PMI - June |
43.0 |
40.4 |
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - June (r) |
63.9 |
63.9 |
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Week of July 3 |
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July 3 |
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ISM (Mfg) - June |
47.4 |
46.9 |
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Construction Spending - May |
0.4% |
1.2 |
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Auto Sales - June |
15.4M |
15.0 |
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Car Sales |
3.2 |
3.1 |
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Truck Sales |
12.2 |
11.9 |
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July 5 |
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Factory Orders - May |
-0.6% |
0.4 |
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Durable Goods Orders |
-1.2 |
1.1 |
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Nondurable Goods Orders |
0.2 |
-0.1 |
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July 6 |
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ADP Employment Report - June |
253K |
278 |
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International Trade - May |
-$69.8B |
-74.6 |
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ISM Services - June |
50.5 |
50.3 |
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JOLTS - May |
10.000M |
10.103 |
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July 7 |
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Nonfarm Payrolls - June |
293K |
339 |
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Private |
253 |
283 |
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Manufacturing |
5 |
-2 |
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Unemployment |
3.6% |
3.7 |
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Average Workweek |
34.3HR |
34.3 |
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Average Hourly Earnings |
0.4% |
0.3 |
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More By This Author: Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of June 12 And 19 Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of June 5 And 12 Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 29 And June 2
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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