Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of June 12 And 19
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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
Week of June 12 |
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June 12 |
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Treasury Budget - May |
-$236.0B |
176.2 |
-236 |
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June 13 |
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NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - May |
88 |
89 |
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Consumer Price Index - May |
0.2% |
0.4 |
0.2 |
Core CPI |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
Energy |
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0.6 |
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June 14 |
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Producer Price Index - May |
0.0% |
0.2 |
-0.1 |
PPI Core |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Energy |
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0.8 |
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FMOC |
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June 15 |
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Retail Sales - May |
0.1% |
0.4 |
-0.1 |
Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas |
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0.6 |
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Philadelphia Fed Survey Index |
-14.5 |
-10.4 |
-13.5 |
NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
-16.0 |
-31.8 |
-15.8 |
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Export Prices - May |
-0.6% |
0.2 |
0.0 |
Import Prices |
-0.6 |
0.4 |
-0.6 |
Import Prices, ex-Peteroleum |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
235K |
261 |
250 |
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Industrial Production - June |
0.0% |
0.5 |
0.1 |
Capacity Utilization |
79.6 |
79.7 |
79.7 |
Manufacturing |
-0.1 |
1.0 |
-0.1 |
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Business Inventories - April |
0.2% |
-0.2 |
0.2 |
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June 16 |
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June (p) |
59.4 |
59.2 |
60 |
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Week of June 19 |
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June 19 |
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NAHB Index - June |
50 |
50 |
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June 20 |
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Housing Starts - May |
1.410M |
1.401 |
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Building Permits |
1.435 |
1.416 |
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June 22 |
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Current Account - Q1 |
-$218.20 |
-206.8 |
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Chicago Fed National Activity Index - May |
0.15 |
0.07 |
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Leading Indicators |
-0.4 |
-0.6 |
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Existing Home Sales - May |
4.17K |
4.280 |
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Kansas City Fed Manufacturing |
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-1 |
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June 23 |
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PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
49.5 |
48.4 |
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PMI Services Flash Index |
53.5 |
54.9 |
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More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of June 5 And 12
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 29 And June 2
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 22 And 29
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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