Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Feb. 10 And 17

By Peter Morici

Sunday, February 9, 2025 12:00 AM EDT

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior
		Observation
Week of February 10
February 11
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - January	103.5	105.1

February 12
Consumer Price Index - January	0.3%	0.4
Core CPI	0.3	0.2

Treasury Budget - January	-$45.5B	-86.7

February 13
Producer Price Index - January	0.3%	0.2
PPI less food, energy and trade services	0.2	0.1

February 14
Retail Sales - January	0.4%	0.4
Retail Sales, ex Autos	0.4	0.4
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas	0.3	0.3

Export Prices - January	0.3%	0.3
Import Prices	0.4	0.1
Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum	-0.1	0.2

Industrial Production - January	0.2%	0.9
Manufacturing Output	0.0	0.6
Capacity Utilization	77.6	77.6

Business Inventories - December	-0.1	0.1

Week of February 17
February 18
NY Fed Manufacturing Index	-5.3	-12.6
NAHB Index - February	47	47

February 19
Housing Starts - January	1.397M	1.499
Building Permits	1.440	1.483

February 20
Initial Unemployment Claims	215K	219
Leading Indicators - January	0.0%	-0.1

February 21
PMI Manufacturing Flash Index	50.5	51.2
PMI Services Flash Index	53.0	52.8

Existing Home Sales - January	4.050M	4.240
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (r)		71.1

More By This Author:

Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Feb. 3 and 10
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 27 & Feb. 3
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 20 And 27, 2025

Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...

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