Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of August 15

August 15

New York Fed Manufacturing Index

7.0

11.1

5.5

NAHB Index

55

55

55

August 16

Housing Starts - July

1.575M

1.559

1.540

Building Permits

1.700

1.696

1.640

Industrial Production - July 

0.3%

-0.2

0.3

Manufacturing

0.3

-0.5

0.0

Capacity Utilization

80.1

80.0

80.1

August 17

Retail Sales - July

0.0%

1.0

0.1

Retail Sales, ex Autos

-0.1

1.0

0.0

Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas

0.1

0.7

Business Inventories - June

1.4%

1.6

1.4

August 18

Initial Unemployment Claims

267K

262

265

Philadelphia Fed Survey

-0.4

-12.3

-0.5

Leading Economic Indicators

-0.4%

-0.8

-0.6

Existing Home Sales - July

4.810M

5.12

488

Week of August 22

August 22

Chicago Fed National Activity Index - July

-0.19

-0.19

0.0

August 23

PMI Manufacturing Flash Index

52.5

52.2

PMI Services Flash

50.0

47.3

New Home Sales - July

600K

590

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

-3

0

August 24

Durable Goods Sales - July

1.0%

2.0

Pending Home Sales Index - July

93.0

91.0

August 25

GDP - Q2 (p)

-0.9

-0.9

August 26

International Trade in Goods - July

-$97.2B

-98.2

Wholesale Inventories - July (a)

1.30%

1.8

Personal Income - July

1.0%

0.6

Personal Spending

1.1

1.1

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - August (r)

55.1

55.1