Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of November 28

November 28

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

-12

-19.4

November 29

S&P Case/Shiller Index - September

Twenty City M/M

-1.4%

-1.6

Twenty City M/M - SA

-1.3

-1.3

Twenty City Y/Y

10.5

13.1

FHFA Housing Price Index  - Sept

-1.3%

-0.7

Consumer Confidence - November

100.0

102.5

100.0

November 30

ADP Employment Report - November

220K

239

200

International Trade in Goods - October

-90.2

-92.2

Wholesale Inventories - October (p)

0.5%

0.6

GDP - Q3 (r)

2.6%

2.6

2.7

Chicago PMI

47.5

45.2

47.1

Pending Home Sale Index - October

78.0

79.5

75.5

JOLTS-October

10.500M

10.717

10.300

December 1

Initial Unemployment Claims

232K

240

235

Personal Income - October

0.4%

0.4

0.4

Personal Spending

0.8

0.6

0.8

PMI Manufacturing Index - November

47.6

47.6

ISM (Mfg) - November

50.2

50.2

49.8

Construction Spending - October

-0.2%

0.2

-0.3

Auto Sales - November

14.7M

14.9

Car Sales

3.1

3.2

Truck Sales

11.8

11.7

December 2

Nonfarm Payrolls - November

220K

261K

200

Private

200

233

Manufacturing

20

32

20

Unemployment

3.8%

3.7

3.7

Average Workweek

0.4HR

0.4

0.3

Average Hourly Earnings

34.5HR

34.5

34.5

Week of December 5

December 5

PMI Services Index - November

46.1

46.1

ISM Services - November

54.4

54.4

Factory Orders - October

0.9%

0.3

Durable Goods Orders 

1.0

0.4

Nondurable Goods Orders 

0.8

0.2

December 6

International Trade - October

-71.0B

-73.3

December 7

Productivity - Q3 (r)

0.3%

0.3

Unit Labor Costs

3.5

3.5

Consumer Credit - October

$25.0

25.0

December 9

Producer Price Index - November

0.3%

0.2

PPI less food, energy and trade services

0.2

0.2

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Dec (p)

56.8

56.8