The USD/JPY is facing a crucial time in the forex market as it pulled back to reach the 200-Day EMA, a significant technical indicator. Traders and investors pay attention to this level as it usually signifies a lot of noise and support in the market. The question is, when will the buyers show up?

Looking at the charts, the 50-Day EMA is starting to rise and sits underneath, offering some support in the area. This is a positive sign for traders, and the market could potentially reach the ¥135 level. However, the market breaking above the ¥135 level opens the possibility of the ¥137.50 level, where the market has seen a lot of selling pressure previously. Therefore, it is crucial to be cautious when trying to get along in that area.

It is essential to keep an eye on the bond markets of both countries as the interest rate differential has a significant impact on this market. Moreover, the Bank of Japan has a significant yield curve control policy and effect and will have to print currency if rates start to rise again, devaluing the Japanese yen itself. In that scenario, we could see the US dollar and most other currencies take off against the Japanese yen. This will more likely than not be the case in most yen-denominated pairs as well, not just this one.
 

Be Cautious

• Underneath, the ¥130 level should be rather supportive, and breaking down below there could open up the possibility of a move to the ¥127.50 level.
• This means that traders need to be cautious when trading the USD/JPY pair and should keep an eye on the charts, technical indicators, and news events that could affect the market.

Overall, the USD/JPY market is trying to turn around and rally over the longer term. Traders need to be patient and wait for the market to stabilize before jumping in. The 50-Day EMA offers some support, and if the market breaks above the ¥135 level, it could potentially reach the ¥137.50 level. Keep an eye on the bond markets of both countries and the Bank of Japan's yield curve control policy and effect, which could impact the market. Traders should be cautious and wait for a clear direction in the market before entering a trade.

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