EUR/USD Weekly Forex Forecast For April 20 – 24, 2020

By Frano Grgić

Saturday, April 18, 2020 4:28 PM EST

I have been talking about possible pullback from 1.08275 to the confluence level where we could wait for the bearish price action which would point price moving down towards 1.08275.

(Click on image to enlarge)

What happened?

Price have pulled back and did not break up above daily trendline and 1.09028 level which could suggest that the price could try to reach 1.09913. The 1.09913 level is the high of the previous week.

The confluence level between 1.08508 and 1.09028 has served as an area where the price have managed to form a pin bar on H4 which suggest us that we could see potential move down and run for 1.07825 level.

Forecast for the week ahead

Bearish scenario

While the price has formed a pin bar on the confluence level, it suggests we will see a move down with higher probability than a move up and a breaking confluence level made of daily trend line and resistance level.

The bearish scenario is backed up with strong bearish candles with long body which means bears are currently stronger traders on the market.

First support that must be broken is 1.08275 level. When the price breaks down and candle close on H4 we can be looking the next support to be hit and that is 1.07825.

After the price break 1.08275 level we could see small pullback to that level before heading down to daily support line at 1.07825.

Bullish scenario

If the pin bar and confluence level do not stop the price in order to see price heading further up, we need to see price move above 1.09028 level and H4 candle close above that level. From there we could see price heading up to the 1.09913.

The market is not easily predictable and we need to prepare ourselves for both scenarios. Risk management is crucial in trading so play safe and set a stop loss.

(Click on image to enlarge)

When to expect that the price hit one of the targets?

Based on the EUR/USD pip range analysis which tells us that Monday on average have around 70 pips pip range, Tuesday and Wednesday have over 80 pips we could see the price move to bearish or bullish position in 2-3 days.

Disclaimer: Any Advice or information is General Advice Only – It does not take into account your personal circumstances, please do not trade or invest based solely on this information. By ...

Disclaimer: Any Advice or information is General Advice Only – It does not take into account your personal circumstances, please do not trade or invest based solely on this information. By Viewing any material or using the information you agree that this is general education material and you will not hold any person or entity responsible for loss or damages resulting from the content or general advice provided here by author. Futures, options, and spot currency trading have large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, spot Forex, CFD’s, options or other financial products. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in any material provided by this author. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

High Risk Warning: Forex, Futures, and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risks. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. You must be aware of the risks of investing in Forex, futures, and options and be willing to accept them in order to trade in these markets. Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Please do not trade with borrowed money or money you cannot afford to lose. Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in this article, is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Please remember that the past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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Comments

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Alexis Renault • 4 years ago • Member's comment

Wish I understood some of this charting. How about a beginner's crash course on how to read them?

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Frano Grgic • 4 years ago • Contributor's comment

Hi Alexis Renault,

I have tried to simplify charts as much is possible with comments.

A beginner's crash course is not available yet but I will plan to make one. Stay tuned and follow www.getknowtrading.com where I will make some course to help everyone who wants to read and understood charts.

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Alexis Renault • 4 years ago • Member's comment

Thanks you. I'm an avid reader of this site, but many of the articles have similar charts. I feel that I'm completely missing out on an entire aspect of investing by not knowing how to read them.

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Frano Grgic • 4 years ago • Contributor's comment

The charts have similar look because the analysis is done with same tools.

View on the market and making analysis is different from trader to trader.

There are basic rules and tools to make basic ground for further analysis so that is something you see all the time.

With proper guide you can learn those basics.

Learning how to read the market and making prediction about market direction requires experience aligned with knowledge. And that takes time and skills.

Do not think that it is impossible to learn that - no, it is possible.

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