Grains Report - Wednesday, Nov. 17

WHEAT
General Comments: Wheat closed lower yesterday in Winter Wheat markets and lower in Minneapolis as Minneapolis continues to show topping potential. Speculators appeared to be the best sellers and were reported to be liquidating longs Ideas are that the US will have good demand for Wheat as the rest of the northern hemisphere is short production this year. Offer volumes are down from both Russia and Europe. Dry weather in southern Russia as well as the northern US Great Plains and Canadian Prairies remains a supportive feature in the market although the weather has become old news. The lack of production has reduced the offers and Russia plans to announce sales quotas for next year very soon. Russia has already increased export taxes to control the flow of export Wheat out of the country. The Russian weather has been good for production in northern and western areas and has recently improved in southern areas and into Kazakhstan in time for the next crop. Siberian Spring Wheat conditions have been very good. Europe is expecting top yields in some areas but less yield in others and parts of eastern Europe and northern Russia are expecting strong yields. European quality is a problem due to too much rain in some areas and not enough in others.
Overnight News: The southern Great Plains should get mostly dry conditions. Temperatures should average near to above normal. Northern areas should see some showers over the middle of the week. Temperatures will average near to above normal. The Canadian Prairies should see scattered showers. Temperatures should average near normal.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are mixed to up with objectives of 860 December. Support is at 798, 780, and 773 December, with resistance at 830, 836, and 842 December. Trends in Kansas City are mixed to up with objectives of 865 December. Support is at 814, 802, and 796 December, with resistance at 848, 854, and 860 December. Trends in Minneapolis are mixed. Support is at 1005, 999, and 984 December, and resistance is at 1048, 1066, and 1086 December.

Photo by Denes Kozma on Unsplash

RICE
General Comments: Rice was a little higher again yesterday and the rally from the lows continues. Weekly chart trends are now threatening to turn up. Daily charts show up trends but that futures are testing important resistance areas. The crop has been largely harvested in all states. Export demand has been good but not great so far but is mostly for paddy. Mill demand has been about average so far.
Overnight News: The Delta should get showers late this week. Temperatures should be near to above normal.
Chart Analysis: Trends are up with objectives of 1446 January. Support is at 1410, 1400, and 1394 January and resistance is at 1422, 1426, and 1438 January.

CORN AND OATS
General Comments: Corn closed lower in range trading. Corn has relatively tight supplies as farmers are harvesting and not selling. Demand will be an increasing feature in the trade moving forward as the harvest moves to completion sometime this month. Yield reports have been mixed but generally strong. Most of the elevators along the Mississippi are exporting again which is good news for nearby demand. There are a lot of ideas that production and planted and harvested area will be significantly less next year due to the lack of fertilizers available and the cost of production. Oats were higher but held the recent trading range. It could be that the bull market is starting to run its course in this market.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are mixed. Support is at 566, 563, and 555 December, and resistance is at 582, 586, and 594 December. Trends in Oats are mixed. Support is at 707, 702, and 686 December, and resistance is at 738, 753, and 775 December.

SOYBEANS
General Comments: Soybeans and Soybean Meal closed lower yesterday and Soybean Oil closed higher. Trends in both markets are sideways to up for the short term. Harvest is starting to wrap up for Soybeans and a harvest low might have been hit this week. Reports indicate that farmers are limited sellers at best. Gulf port elevators are coming on line and export sales and exports are increasing. Planting and initial crop development is going very well in Brazil. Brazil could have soybeans ready for export by the end of February and the crop potential is up to 150 million tons. It has been dry in Argentina but rain has been falling this week and conditions for planting and initial growth are improving.
Overnight News: China bought 132,000 tons of US Soybeans. India bought 30,000 tons of US Soybean Oil.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Soybeans are mixed. Support is at 1241, 1222, and 1208 January, and resistance is at 1261, 1266, and 1274 January. Trends in Soybean Meal are up with no objectives. Support is at 358.00, 355.00, and 347.00 December, and resistance is at 376.00 381.00, and 388.00 December. Trends in Soybean Oil are mixed. Support is at 5850, 5750, and 5700 December, with resistance at 5990, 6050, and 6140 December.

CANOLA AND PALM OIL
General Comments: Palm Oil closed a little higher today in part on stronger Chicago Soybean Oil values. Futures are still caught in a trading range. Support still comes from ideas that supply and demand are in balance or supplies are short. The weekly chart trends are up. There are ideas of tight supplies due to labor problems. There are just not enough workers in the fields due to Coronavirus restrictions. Production has also been down to more than offset the export losses so prices have trended higher. Canola was higher, mostly in sympathy with Chicago Soybean Oil and the lack of available supply for crushing. Farmers are bullish and reluctant to sell because of the sharp reduction in Canola production in Canada this year. The weekly chart trends are up.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are mixed to up with objective of 1020.00, 1048.00, and 1058.00 January Support is at 993.00, 979.00, and 961.00 January, with resistance at 1030.00, 1038.00, and 1044 .00 January. Trends in Palm Oil are mixed. Support is at 4700, 4650, and 4540 February, with resistance at 4860, 4920, and 4950 February.

Disclaimer: A Subsidiary of Price Holdings, Inc. – a Diversified Financial Services Firm. Member NIBA, NFA Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investing in ...

more
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.
Or Sign in with