Looking Back At Q2

Menzie Chinn
By Menzie Chinn of Econbrowser
Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin •

A look at what revised Q2 GDP forecasts look like when graphed.

IHS Markit moves 2022Q2 tracking from -0.3% to -0.2% SAAR today. Goldman Sachs moves from the advance official of -0.9% to -0.4% SAAR.

Figure 1: GDP advance Q2 (black), IHS Markit tracking 8/17 (green square), and Goldman Sachs tracking 8/17 (red triangle), all bn.Ch2012$ SAAR. Source: BEA, IHS Markit, Goldman Sachs.

These updated nowcasts highlight the fact that GDP estimates are revised, as noted here.

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