| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
| Forecast | Prior Observation | Consensus | |
| Week of September 13 | |||
| September 13 | |||
| Treasury Budget - August | -$330.0B | -302.1 | -173 |
| September 14 | |||
| NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - August | 99.7 | 99.7 | |
| Consumer Price Index - August | 0.4% | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Core CPI | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| September 15 | |||
| New York Fed Manufacturing Index | 20.0 | 18.3 | |
| Export Prices - August | 0.4% | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Import Prices | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Import Prices, ex-Petroleum | 0.6 | 0.1 | |
| Industrial Production - August | 0.5% | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Capacity Utilization | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Manufacturing | 76.4 | 76.1 | 76.4 |
| September 16 | |||
| Initial Unemployment Claims | 310K | 310 | 318 |
| Retail Sales - August | -1.0% | -1.1 | -1.0 |
| Retail Sales, ex Autos | -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| Retail Sales, Less Autos and Gas | -0.3 | -0.7 | |
| Philadelphia Fed Survey | 20.6 | 19.4 | 19.0 |
| Business Inventories - July | 0.5% | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| September 17 | |||
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Sept (p) | 70.3 | 70.3 | 72.0 |
| Week of September 20 | |||
| September 20 | |||
| NAHB Index | 77 | 75 | |
| September 21 | |||
| Housing Starts - August | 1.625M | 1.534 | |
| Building Permits | 1.670 | 1.635 | |
| Current Account - Q2 | -$190.0B | -195.7 | |
| September 22 | |||
| Existing Home Sales - August | 5.780M | 5.990 | |
| FMOC | 0.125% | 0.125 | |
| September 23 | |||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index - August | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| PMI Manufacturing - Flash | 60.5 | 61.1 | |
| PMI Services Flash | 54.7 | 55.1 | |
| Leading Indicators | 0.9% | 0.9 | |
| September 24 | |||
| New Home Sales - August | 725K | 708 |
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 13 And 20
Projections for upcoming data releases, including CPI, retail sales leading indicators.
Peter Morici is an economist and emeritus business professor at the University of Maryland, and a national columnist.
Comments
Log in or sign up to join the conversation.