Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 9 And 16


Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data
	Forecast	Prior Observation	Consensus
Week of October 9
October 10
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - September	91.3	91.3
Wholesale Inventories - August	-0.1%	-0.2	-0.1

October 11
Producer Price Index - August	0.3%	0.7	0.3
PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services)	0.2	0.2	0.2
Energy		0.3

October 12
Consumer Price Index - September	0.3%	0.6	0.3
Core CPI	0.3	0.3	0.3

Initial Unemployment Claims	210K	207	210
Treasury Budget - August	-$16.2B	89.3

October 13
Export Prices - September	0.5%	1.3	0.5
Import Prices	0.5	0.5	0.5

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October (p)	68.0	68.1	67.4

Week of October 16
October 16
New York Fed Manufacturing Index	0.0	1.9

October 17
Retail Sales - September	0.3%	0.6	0.3
Retail Sales, ex Autos	0.3	0.6	0.2
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas	0.3	0.2

Industrial Production - September	-0.1%	0.4
Capacity Utilization	79.5	79.7
Manufacturing	-0.2	0.1

Business Inventories - August	0.2%	0.1
NAHB Index	45	45

October 18
Housing Starts - September	1.320M	1.283
Building Permits	1.450	1.543

October 19
Philadelphia Fed Survey	-6.8	-13.5
Initial Unemployment Claims
Leading Indicators	-0.4%	-0.4
Existing Home Sales - September	3.880M	4.040

October 20
Treasury Budget - September	$88.3B	89.3

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