Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 11 And 18


Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior Observation	Consensus
Week of October 11
October 12
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - September		100.1
JOLTS - August	11.2M	10.9	1.09

October 13
Consumer Price Index - September	0.3%	0.3	0.3
Core CPI	0.2	0.1	0.3

October 14
Initial Unemployment Claims	326K%	326	328

Producer Price Index - September	0.4%	0.7	0.6
PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services)	0.4	0.3

October 15
Retail Sales - September	-0.2%	0.7	-0.2
Retail Sales, ex Autos	0.3	1.8	0.5
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas	0.2	2.0

New York Fed Manufacturing Index	25.0	34.3	27.0

Export Prices - September	0.7%	0.4	0.6
Import Prices	0.6	-0.3	0.6

Business Inventories - August	0.6%	0.5	0.6
Treasury Budget - September	-$140.2B	-170.6
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October (p)	71.0	72.8	70.3

Week of October 18
October 18
Industrial Production - September	0.3%	0.4	0.3
Capacity Utilization	76.6	76.4	76.5
Manufacturing	0.3	0.2	0.3

NAHB Index	76	76	76

October 19
Housing Starts - September	1.635M	1.615	1.630
Building Permits	1.725	1.721	1.724

October 21
Philadelphia Fed Survey	24.0	30.7
Leading Indicators	0.5%	0.9	0.4
Existing Home Sales - September	6.000M	5.880M