Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 10 And 17

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Forecast Prior Observation Consensus

Week of October 10

October 11

NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index - September 91.8 91.8

October 12

Producer Price Index - September 0.3% -0.1 0.2

PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services) 0.4 0.2

October 13

Initial Unemployment Claims 225K 219 220

Consumer Price Index - September 0.2% 0.1 0.2

Core CPI 0.4 0.6 0.5

Energy

October 14

Retail Sales - September 0.2% 0.3 0.2

Retail Sales, ex Autos 0.1 -0.3 0.0

Export Prices - September -1.2% -1.6 -1.0

Import Prices -1.2 -1.0 -1.1

Import Prices, ex-Energy -0.2

Treasury Budget - September -$25.0B -219.6 -24.6

Business Inventories - August 0.9% 0.6

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October (p) 58.8 58.6 59.0

Week of October 17

October 17

New York Fed Manufacturing Index -0.7% -1.5

October 18

Industrial Production - September 0.3% -0.2

Capacity Utilization 80.1 80.0

Manufacturing 0.1 0.1

NAHB Index 45 46

October 19

Housing Starts - September 1.535 1.575

Building Permits 1.600 1.517

October 20

Philadelphia Fed Survey -4.0 -9.9

Leading Indicators -0.3 -0.3

Existing Home Sales - September 4.7200M 4.800

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