| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
| Forecast | Prior Observation | Consensus | |
| Week of November 8 | |||
| November 9 | |||
| NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index - September | 98.5 | 99.1 | |
| Producer Price Index - October | 0.5% | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| PPI less food, energy and trade services | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| Energy | 2.8 | ||
| November 10 | |||
| Consumer Price Index - October | 0.5% | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Core CPI | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Wholesale Inventories - September | 1.0% | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Treasury Budget - October | -$137.0B | -61.5 | |
| November 11 | |||
| Initial Unemployment Claims | 265K | 269 | 265 |
| November 12 | |||
| JOLTS - September | 10.0M | 10.439 | |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (p) | 72.5 | 71.7 | 72.5 |
| Week of November 15 | |||
| November 15 | |||
| NY Fed Manufacturing Index | 20.5 | 19.8 | 20.5 |
| November 16 | |||
| Retail Sales - October | 0.5% | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Retail Sales, ex Autos | 0.5 | 0.8 | |
| Export Prices - October | 0.8% | 0.1 | |
| Import Prices | 0.8 | 0.4 | |
| Import Prices, ex-Energy | 0.5 | 0.1 | |
| Industrial Production - October | 0.7% | -1.3 | 0.7 |
| Capacity Utilization | 75.6 | 75.2 | |
| Manufacturing | 0.6 | -0.7 | |
| Business Inventories - September | 0.5% | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| NAHB Index | 80 | 80 | |
| November 17 | |||
| Housing Starts - October | 1.580M | 1.555 | 1.580 |
| Building Permits | 1.630 | 1.589 | 1.630 |
| November 18 | |||
| Philadelphia Fed Survey | 20.0 | 23.8 | |
| Leading Indicators | 0.7% | 0.2 | 0.8 |
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 8 And 15
My predictions for upcoming data releases, including Core CPI, Retail Sales, Exports and Import prices.
Peter Morici is an economist and emeritus business professor at the University of Maryland, and a national columnist.




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