Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 15 And 22


Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior Observation	Consensus
Week of November 15
November 15
NY Fed Manufacturing Index	20.5	19.8	21.6

November 16
Retail Sales - October	0.7%	0.7	1.1
Retail Sales, ex Autos	0.7	0.8	0.8

Export Prices - October	1.0%	0.1	1.1
Import Prices	1.0	0.4	1.0

Industrial Production - October	0.7%	-1.3	0.7
Capacity Utilization	75.6	75.2	75.7
Manufacturing	0.6	-0.7	0.8

Business Inventories - September	0.7%	0.6	0.7
NAHB Index	80	80	80

November 17
Housing Starts - October	1.580M	1.555	1.580
Building Permits	1.630	1.589	1.630

November 18
Kansas City Fed Manufacutring Index		29
Initial Unemployment Claims	260K	267K	260.0
Philadelphia Fed Survey	22.0	23.8	24.0
Leading Indicators	0.9%	0.2	0.8

Week of November 22
November 22
Chicago Fed National Activity Index - October	0.1	-0.13

PMI Services Flash Index	58.7	58.7
PMI Manufacturing Flash Index	58.4	58.4

Existing Home Sales - October	6.150M	6.290	6.240

November 23
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	11	12

November 24
Durable Goods Sales - October	0.6%	-0.3	0.3
International Trade in Goods - October	-92.3	-96.3
Wholesale Inventories - October (p)		1.4

GDP - Q3 (r)	2.0%	2.0

Personal Income - October	0.5%	-1.0	0.3
Personal Spending	0.8	0.6	0.8

New Home Sales - October	820K	800	810
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - November (r)	66.8	66.8