Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Dec. 29 And Jan. 5

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior Observation
Week of December 29
December 29
Pending Home Sale Index - November	77.0	76.3
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	-5.0	-10.4

December 30
S&P Case/Shiller Index - October
Twenty City M/M	-0.5%	-0.5
Twenty City M/M - SA	0.1	0.1
Twenty City Y/Y	1.1	1.4

FHFA Housing Price Index - Oct	0.2%	0.0
Chicago PMI	39.0	36.3

December 31
Initial Unemployment Claims	218K	214

January 2
PMI Manufacturing Index - December	51.8	51.8

Week of January 5
January 5
ISM (Mfg) - December	48.6	48.2

Auto Sales - December	15.7M	15.6
Car Sales	2.5	2.5
Truck Sales	13.2	13.1

January 6
PMI Services - December	52.9	52.9

January 7
ADP Employment - December	45	-32

Factory Orders - October	-0.9%	0.2
Durable Goods Orders	-2.2	0.5
Nondurable Goods Orders	0.3	-0.1

Factory Orders - November	0.4%
Durable Goods Orders	0.5
Nondurable Goods Orders	0.3

ISM Services - December	51.0	50.7
JOLTS - Nov	7.500M	7.670

January 8
Initial Unemployment Claims	3.3%	3.3

Productivity - Q(4) - preliminary	5.2%	3.3
Unit Labor Cost	-0.4	1.0

International Trade - October	-$58.8B	-52.8
Wholesale Inventories - October	0.3%	0.5
Wholesale Inventories - November	0.3%

Consumer Credit - November	$10.5B	9.2

January 9
Nonfarm Payrolls - December	40K	`
Private	45	69
Core Private*
Manufacturing	-5	-5
Unemployment	4.5%	4.6
Average Workweek	34.3HR	34.3
Average Hourly Earnings	0.3%	0.1
*Core Private equals Private less Medical, Social Assistance, and Temp Services

Housing Starts - October	1.325M	1.307
Building Permits	1.345	1.312

Housing Starts - November	1.325M
Building Permits	1.350

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