Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 24 And May 1

Here are some predictions for upcoming data releases, including  Consumer Confidence, Durable Goods, and Jobless Claims.

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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.    

     
  Forecast Prior Observation Consensus
Week of April 24      
April 24      
Chicago Fed National Activity Index - March -0.25% -0.19  
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey -12.0% -15.7  
       
April 25      
S&P Case/Shiller Index - February      
Twenty City M/M 0.0% -0.6  
Twenty City M/M - SA -0.2 -0.4 -0.4
Twenty City Y/Y 0.0 2.5 0.1
       
FHFA Housing Price Index - February -0.4% 0.2  
Consumer Confidence 139.8 104.2 104.0
New Home Sales - March 630K 640 634
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey -8 -5  
       
       
Durable Goods Orders - March 1.2% -1.0 0.8
       
International Trade - March (a) -$90.6B -91.6  
Wholesale Inventories - March (a) 0.3% 0.1 0.2
       
April 27      
GDP - Q1 (a) 1.8% 2.6 2.0
Initial Jobless Claims 250K 245 250
Pending Home Sale Index - March 82.3 83.2 83.4
       
April 28      
Employment Cost Index - Q1 1.2% 1.0 1.1
Employment Cost Index - Y/Y 5.0 5.1  
       
Personal Income - March 0.3% 0.3 0.2
Personal Spending -0.1 0.2 -0.1
Chicago PMI - April 43.3 43.8 43.5
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - April (r) 63.5 63.5 63.5
       
       
Week of May 1      
May 1      
PMI Manufacturing Index - April 50.4 50.4  
ISM (Mfg) - April 46.7 46.3  
       
Construction Spending - March 0.2 -0.1  
         
May 2      
Factory Orders - March 0.8 -0.7  
Durable Goods Orders  1.2 -1.0  
Nondurable Goods Orders  0.3 -0.4  
       
JOLTS -March 9.600M 9.931  
       
Auto Sales* - April 14.8M 14.8  
Car Sales 3.0 3.0  
Truck Sales 11.8 11.8  
       
May 3      
ADP Employment Report - April 150K 145  
       
PMI Services Index 53.7 53.7  
ISM Services - April 51.8 51.2  
       
May 4      
Productivity - Q1 (p) 0.0% 1.7  
Unit Labor Costs 4.0 3.2  
       
International Trade - March -$69.5B -70.5  
       
May 5      
Nonfarm Payrolls - April 185K 236  
Private 157 189  
Manufacturing 0 -1  
Unemployment 3.5% 3.5  
Average Workweek 34.4HR 34.4  
Average Hourly Earnings 0.3% 0.3  
       
Consumer Credit - March $18.0B 15.3  
       

More By This Author:

Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 17 And 24
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 10 And 17
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 3 And 10

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