Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
|
Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
|
|
April 10 |
|||
|
Consumer Price Index - March |
-0.3% |
0.1 |
-0.3 |
|
Core CPI |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
Treasury Budget - March |
-$120.0B |
-235.3 |
-150 |
|
Week of April 13 |
|||
|
April 14 |
|||
|
Export Prices - March |
-2.0% |
-1.1 |
-1.9 |
|
Import Prices |
-3.3 |
-0.5 |
-3.5 |
|
Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum |
-0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
April 15 |
|||
|
Retail Sales - March |
-3.3% |
-0.5 |
-7.0 |
|
Retail Sales, ex Autos |
-1.9 |
-0.4 |
-3.0 |
|
NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
-35.0 |
-22.5 |
-35.0 |
|
Industrial Production - March |
-5.0% |
0.6 |
-4.2 |
|
Capacity Utilization |
72.0 |
77.0 |
73.7 |
|
Business Inventories - February |
-0.5% |
-0.1 |
-0.4 |
|
NAHB Index - April |
62 |
72 |
59 |
|
April 16 |
|||
|
Initial Unemployment Claims |
3.000M |
6.606 |
4.600 |
|
Housing Starts - March |
1.300M |
1.599 |
1.307 |
|
Building Permits |
1.300 |
1.464 |
1.300 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Survey |
-30.0 |
-12.7 |
-30 |
|
April 17 |
|||
|
Leading Indicators - March |
-7.0% |
0.1 |
-7.0 |
|
Week of April 20 |
|||
|
April 20 |
|||
|
Chicago Fed National Activity Index - March |
-0.50 |
0.16 |
|
|
April 21 |
|||
|
Existing Home Sales - March |
5.550M |
5.770 |
|
|
April 22 |
|||
|
FHFA Housing Price Index - February |
0.3% |
0.3 |
|
|
April 23 |
|||
|
PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
38.5 |
48.5 |
|
|
PMI Services Flash Index |
41.0 |
52.5 |
|
|
New Home Sales - March |
600K |
765 |
|
|
April 24 |
|||
|
Durable Goods Orders - March |
-15.0% |
-1.2 |
|
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - April (r) |
71.0 |
71.0 |




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