Economic Data Forecasts for the Weeks of April 13 and 20

Here are the forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

 

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

April 10

     

Consumer Price Index - March

-0.3%

0.1

-0.3

Core CPI

0.2

0.2

0.1

       

Treasury Budget - March

-$120.0B

-235.3

-150

       

Week of April 13

     

April 14

     

Export Prices - March

-2.0%

-1.1

-1.9

Import Prices

-3.3

-0.5

-3.5

Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum

-0.2

0.2

 
       

April 15

     

Retail Sales - March

-3.3%

-0.5

-7.0

Retail Sales, ex Autos

-1.9

-0.4

-3.0

       

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

-35.0

-22.5

-35.0

       

Industrial Production - March

-5.0%

0.6

-4.2

Capacity Utilization

72.0

77.0

73.7

       

Business Inventories - February

-0.5%

-0.1

-0.4

NAHB Index - April

62

72

59

       

April 16

     

Initial Unemployment Claims

3.000M

6.606

4.600

       

Housing Starts - March

1.300M

1.599

1.307

Building Permits

1.300

1.464

1.300

       

Philadelphia Fed Survey

-30.0

-12.7

-30

       

April 17

     

Leading Indicators - March

-7.0%

0.1

-7.0

       

Week of April 20

     

April 20

     

Chicago Fed National Activity Index - March

-0.50

0.16

 
       

April 21

     

Existing Home Sales - March

5.550M

5.770

 
       

April 22

     

FHFA Housing Price Index - February

0.3%

0.3

 
       

April 23

     

PMI Manufacturing Flash Index

38.5

48.5

 

PMI Services Flash Index

41.0

52.5

 
       

New Home Sales - March

600K

765

 
       

April 24

     

Durable Goods Orders - March

-15.0%

-1.2

 

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - April (r)

71.0

71.0

 

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