Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
Forecast | Prior | ||
Observation | |||
Week of July 13 | |||
July 14 | |||
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - June | 95.7 | 95.3 | |
Consumer Price Index - June | 0.0% | 0.5 | |
Core CPI | 0.3 | 0.2 | |
July 15 | |||
Producer Producer Index - June | 0.6% | 1.1 | |
PPI less food energy and trade services | 0.4 | 0.8 | |
NY Fed Manufacturing Index | 6.0 | 5.7 | |
July 16 | |||
Retail Sales - June | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
Retail Sales, ex Autos | 0.2 | 0.8 | |
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gasoline | 0.3 | 0.5 | |
Retail Sales, Gasoline | -4.3 | 3.4 | |
Business Inventories - May | 0.2% | 0.5 | |
NAHB Index - July | 36 | 35 | |
Pending Home Sale Index - June | 77.5 | 76.8 | |
July 17 | |||
Philadelphia Fed Survey | 9.5 | 10.3 | |
Housing Starts - June | 1.300M | 1.177 | |
Building Permits | 1.430 | 1.413 | |
Export Prices - June | 0.6% | 1.3 | |
Import Prices | 0.1 | 1.9 | |
Import Prices, ex-Energy | 0.5 | 13.0 | |
Industrial Production - June | 0.3% | 0.1 | |
Capacity Utilization | 76.4 | 76.2 | |
Manufacturing | 0.3 | 0.0 | |
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (p) | 50.5 | 49.5 | |
Year Ahead Inflation | 4.5% | 4.6 |





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