Economic Data Forecast For The Weeks Of Oct. 13 And 20

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior Observation
Week of October 13
October 14
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - September	101.5	100.8

October 15
Consumer Price Index - September	0.3%	0.4
Core CPI	0.3	0.3

New York Fed Manufacturing Index	0.0	-8.7

October 16
Retail Sales - September	0.4%	0.6
Retail Sales, ex Autos	0.4	0.7
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas	0.4	0.7

Producer Price Index - August	0.3%	-0.1
PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services)	0.3	-0.4

Philadelphia Fed Survey	8.0	23.2
Business Inventories - August	0.2%	0.2

NAHB Index	33	32

October 17
Housing Starts - September	1.310M	1.307
Building Permits	1.350	1.312

Export Prices - September	-0.2%	0.0
Import Prices	-0.1	0.3
Import Prices, ex-Energy	-0.1	0.2

Industrial Production - September	0.1%	0.1
Capacity Utilization	77.3	77.4
Manufacturing	0.0	0.2

Treasury Budget - August	$160.0B	-334.8

Week of October 20
October 20
Leading Indicators	-0.3%	-0.5

October 23
Existing Home Sales - September	4.043M	4.000

October 24*
Chicago Fed National Activity Index	-0.20	-0.12

PMI Manufacturing Flash Index	52.2	52.0
PMI Services Flash Index	54.2	53.9

New Home Sales - September	725K	800

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