Economic Data For the Weeks of October 10 And 17

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of October 10

October 11

NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index - September

94.7

94.4

95.0

October 13

Initial Unemployment Claims

254K

249

254

Export Prices -  September

0.0%

-0.8

0.1

Import Prices

0.0

-0.2

0.1

Treasury Budget - September

-$23.8B

-107.1

October 14

Retail Sales - September

0.6%

-0.3

0.6

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.5

-0.1

0.5

Producer Price Index - September

0.3%

0.0

0.2

PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services)

0.2

0.3

Energy

Business Inventories - August

0.2%

-0.1

0.1

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October (p)

92.0

91.2

92.0

Week of October 17

October 17

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

1.0

-2.0

Industrial Production - August

0.0%

-0.4

Capacity Utilization

75.4

75.5

October 18

Consumer Price Index - September

0.3%

0.2

Core CPI

0.2

0.3

NAHB Index

63

65

October 19

Housing Starts - September

1.1650M

1.142

Building Permits

1.165

1.139

October 20

Initial Unemployment Claims

Philadelphia Fed Survey

6.5

12.8

Existing Home Sales - September

5.375M

5.330

Leading Indicators

0.2%

-0.2