Bill Conerly | TalkMarkets | Page 26
Connecting The Dots Between The Economy... And Business!
Dr. Bill Conerly connects the dots between the economy and business decisions. As a consultant, he not only forecasts the economy but also helps business leaders understand how their challenges will change with the evolving economy. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Duke University and was ...more

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Housing Forecast 2015: More Construction
Housing was the highest hope for economists at the beginning of last year, and the greatest disappointment at the end of the year. 2015 should be a much better year for construction, but price appreciation probably won’t be any higher than last year.
Gasoline And Greed
Gasoline prices have dropped because our economic system leads greedy business owners to drop prices down to just barely cover their costs
Banking Forecast 2015: Earnings Headed Up
Loan volumes will improve, and this is a major positive for commercial banks. Consumers will continue to grow their credit, but only in pace with their overall income.
Companies Benefitting Society
Let’s celebrate the many, many companies that benefit society, from abattoirs to zirconium processors. We only buy from them if we benefit from their goods and services.
Economic Forecast 2015-2017
The first possible Fed error, tightening too soon and too aggressively, would put 2017 or 2018 in jeopardy. If it tightens too late, we first get an acceleration of inflation and then the Fed slams on the brakes.
Are We Due For A Recession In 2015?
Are we due for a recession? It has been 66 months since the last recession ended (as I write this in December 2014). Not too many people felt that the recession was over back in June 2009, but that’s what the business cycle experts determined.
Oil Price Forecast: 2015-2016
Oil prices are headed down, and I mean down at least $20 a barrel. The key reason is that prices have been high. It’s not a paradox, but a result of the long time lags in oil production.
How To Adjust Your Business Data For Seasonality
Tis the season for economic and business data to get messed up by—the season! Things are not normal this time of year. Shopping for clothing goes up, for building materials goes down, and woe be to the executive who doesn’t recognize the pattern.
Seasonality In Business And Economics: A Primer
Managers need to understand how their business is doing, but normal seasonal variations make this harder.
How Big Is Christmas For Retail?
Christmas is big, no doubt about it. How big depends on what type of retail.
The Danger Of A Big Customer: G T Advanced Technology's Bankruptcy
The first rule of thumb for selling to a big buyer is don’t go overboard. Maintain strong relationships with other customers.
Employee Quits Are Up: Is It Time To Raise Wages?
The number of employees quitting their jobs is the highest it has been since early 2008. The number of vacant jobs is the highest it has been since 2001. Is it time to increase wage rates?
The Next Recession: Cause And Timing
I know it’s coming, but I’m not sure when. We will have a recession within the next few years, which is an easy forecast.
The Economics Of 3-D Printing: Challenges
3-D printing offers tremendous opportunities, but it also brings a few challenges. I recently wrote about opportunities in 3-D printing; here’s my take on challenges.
The Economics Of 3-D Printing: Opportunities
The essential economic issue behind 3-D printing is that the price per unit produced is higher than traditional manufacturing, but the tooling cost is zero.
Cities Left Behind By Economic Change: Venice And Other Ghost Towns
When economic change removes a city’s reason for existence, the business and political leaders try to bring the city back.
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