Professor Emeritus, Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

Professor Peter Morici is a recognized expert on economic policy and international economics. Prior to joining the university, he served as director of the Office of Economics at the U.S. International Trade Commission. He is the author of 18 books and monographs and has published widely in ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 29 And December 6
Predictions for upcoming data release figures, including Case/Shiller, Consumer Confidence, ADP and NFP.
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Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Nov. 22 And 29
My expectations for upcoming data releases including Durable Goods, Case/Shiller, ADP Employment, Nonfarm Payrolls.
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Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 15 And 22
Prognosis for all the upcoming data releases, including Retail Sales, Leading Indicators, PMI.
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Free Trade Isn’t Dead Unless America Is
Free trade among nations is not much different than specialization across our continental economy—California in high tech and New York in finance.
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Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 8 And 15
My predictions for upcoming data releases, including Core CPI, Retail Sales, Exports and Import prices.
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Germany’s Merkel Leaves Much Unfinished Business For Olaf Scholz
The chancellor led Germany through some troubled times, but didn’t do enough to prepare it for the challenges of the future.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

AIG American International Group Inc
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
BP BP p.l.c.
C Citigroup Inc.
GM General Motors Company
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Google)
GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
IYH iShares Dow Jones U.S. Healthcare Sector Index Fund
RSX MARKET VECTORS RUS ETF
SPY SPDR S&P 500

TWEETS

PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts
Powell And Biden Are Rolling The Dice On Inflation And Growth
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and President Joe Biden are rolling the dice on runaway inflation and slow growth.   
Fed Chairman Powell Is Delusional About Inflation
The Fed's criteria for raising interest rates have been met and ignored.
Benefits Of Free Trade Versus Team Biden’s Protectionism
Free trade is no different than California, specializing in high tech, and New York in finance. It permits nations to focus on what they do best.
Powell And Biden Stifle Growth, Gamble On Inflation
Chairman Powell and President Biden are rolling the dice on runaway inflation and slow growth.  
The Politically Influenced Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve has become a decadent institution. If it does not scale back easy-money policies soon, Americans risk a deep recession or at least stagflation.
Preliminary Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of August 9 And 16
Here are my preliminary forecasts for upcoming economic data for the weeks of August 9 and August 16, 2021. Look for the complete version this weekend.
America’s Baby Drought Poses A Risk To Our Prosperity And Security
The COVID pandemic has hit women in the workplace hard. They serve in many public-facing positions that were at least temporarily lost, and school closures exacerbated already difficult child-care challenges.
Powell And The Fed Are Enabling The Biden Inflation
President Joe Biden’s budget deficits threaten to ignite the kind of inflation that followed the Vietnam War and Great Society, and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell appears content to enable him.

Work Experience

Economist and Professor of Business
University of Maryland
1996 - Present (26 years 3 months)
Director of Economics
U.S. Internaitonal Trade Commission
1993 - 1995 (2 years 11 months)

Education

State University of New York at Albany
PhD
1970 / 1974
Economics

Publications

Currency Manipulation and Free Trade
Peter Morici
Peter Morici
12/01/2004
The Doha Round
Peter Morici
Nucor Corporation