Co-Founder and Chief Analyst at Bespoke Weather Services
Contributor's Links: Bespoke Weather Services

I use the latest numerical weather model guidance and a wide array of fundamental and technical data sets to predict trends in the natural gas market.  At Bespoke Weather Services I compile the latest data into easy-to-read research reports issued ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

April Gas Trends Lower On Milder End Of March And Loosening Supply/Demand Balances
The April natural gas contract settled down over 2% today as weather forecasts trended unimpressive through the day with balances doing little to support prices.
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Depleting Salt Storage And Firm Cash Keep April Gas Bid
The April natural gas contract rallied a bit over a percent today despite an EIA number that was not quite as bullish as the market consensus.
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Shoulder Season Doldrums Keep April Gas Flat
The shoulder season doldrums appear to have arrived for natural gas traders, with the April gas contract losing just a tick on the day as weather models warmed but low storage fears keep the summer curve bid.
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Low Storage Concerns Push Gas Prices Higher
April natural gas prices ended the day up almost 1% after bouncing around in the early part of the session. Concerns over low storage levels combined with a colder than normal weather forecast were the culprit for the move up.
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Weaker Cash And Briefly Warmer Models Let April Gas Retrace
The April natural contract settled down around a percent and a half as overnight weather models moderated slightly and Henry Hub day-ahead cash prices plunged below $3.
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Storage Levels Creeping Lower Keeps Gas Firm
Attention today turned to low storage levels, as a growing storage deficit to last year kept a bid in April natural gas prices, allowing the contract to settle up nearly 3 cents on the day.
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Comments

Latest Comments
Natural Gas Approaching Key Short-Term Support Level
2 years ago

Thank you! The case with #LNG is interesting as in the short-term it is not having too significant a demand impact (EIA estimates.5-.7 bcf/d), but longer-term could with further development and investment. Most analysis I conduct is focused on the near-term in the next few weeks/months of price action, but in what I have done as well it has become clear how comparatively cheap our gas is in comparison to other parts of the world.

In this article: UNG
Natural Gas Declines: Some Seasonality At Play
2 years ago

Thank you for your comment and kind words, Chetan! I began by studying meteorology and the impacts it has within the financial markets, and proceeded to home in on the natural gas market, a market known for swinging wildly due to changes in weather forecasts resulting in different energy demand expectations. To create analysis that was more useful to traders, I decided to pare weather analysis alongside other fundamental/technical analysis into a subscription product, so traders could subscribe and more easily determine when the weather or other fundamentals/technicals were driving price action. Since then, I've been researching other models/theories on price movement to combine alongside the meteorological analysis I conduct. I definitely enjoy posting to this site and plan to continue as regularly as I can.

1 to 2 of 2 comments

STOCKS I FOLLOW

BOIL ProShares Trust II
CHK Chesapeake Energy Corporation
COG Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation
CORN Teucrium Corn ETF
DBA PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund
DGAZ VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN
JJOFF iPath Bloomberg Coffee SubTR ETN
SOYB Teucrium Commodity Trust
SWN Southwestern Energy Co.
UGAZ Credit Suisse VelocityShares 3X Long Natural Gas Exchange Traded Notes 2012- Linked to S&P GSCI Natu
UNG United States Natural Gas Fund LP
USO United States Oil Fund, LP
XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation
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Jacob Meisel
mranthropy23 deficit vs. flows and real opportunity next few months lies in how those two get priced in along the… more
Jacob Meisel
April #Gas Trends Lower On Milder End Of March And Loosening Supply/Demand Balances #Gas Trends Lower On Milder End Of March And Loosening Supply/Demand Balances $UNG https://t.co/Qcrn9kArl8 less
Jacob Meisel
Depleting Salt Storage And Firm Cash Keep April #Gas Bid $UNG #Gas Bid $UNG https://t.co/xacRIHQMrz less
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PERSONAL BLOG

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Work Experience

Chief Weather Analyst
Bespoke Weather Services
May 2015 - Present (3 years 11 months)

I serve as the Chief Weather Analyst and co-founder of Bespoke Weather Services, working with Bespoke Investment Group. I compile research reports using the latest weather data to alert energy (primarily natural gas) traders of upcoming major weather events that will influence market patterns. I similarly speculate in the physical natural gas futures market off of this weather data

Chief Weather Analyst and Founder
SWCT Weather
October 2008 - Present (10 years 7 months)

I serve as the Chief Weather Analyst of SWCT Weather, accurately forecasting localized weather impacts for Southwestern Connecticut and adjacent New York for the past 7 years

Research Assistant
NAVSTAR Advisors
May 2014 - September 2014 (5 months)

Education

Harvard University
Bachelor’s Degree
2013 / 2017
Social Studies (North American Climate and Politics), 3.7.

Publications