Co-Founder and Chief Analyst at Bespoke Weather Services
Contributor's Links: Bespoke Weather Services

I use the latest numerical weather model guidance and a wide array of fundamental and technical data sets to predict trends in the natural gas market.  At Bespoke Weather Services I compile the latest data into easy-to-read research reports issued ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Natural Gas Finally Rebounds With Colder Risks And Tighter Balances
The March natural gas contract rebounded a couple percent today as weather models began adding back demand and weather-adjusted demand continued to impress.
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Slightly Bearish EIA Number Prevents March Gas Recovery
The March contract was the only one near flat on the day, as the rest of Cal19 was incredibly weak.
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Models Flip Back Warmer And Gas Crashes Lower
After two days of gains on colder weather model guidance, key models flipped warmer last night and again this afternoon to hit the front of the natural gas strip hard.
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Colder End Of February Keeps Gas Bid
It was another day of strength at the front of the natural gas futures curve as the March contract logged a gain slightly less than 2% on the day.
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Natural Gas Gaps And Runs But Struggles To Maintain Gains
Natural gas bulls were greeted by a solid gap up last evening in the March contract, which continued running through the morning.
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Natural Gas Finally Bounces Back Some
The March natural gas contract was finally able to hold onto some gains today, settling up a bit over a percent on the day as afternoon weather model guidance turned back colder after recent volatility and balances began to improve.
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Comments

Latest Comments
Natural Gas Approaching Key Short-Term Support Level
2 years ago

Thank you! The case with #LNG is interesting as in the short-term it is not having too significant a demand impact (EIA estimates.5-.7 bcf/d), but longer-term could with further development and investment. Most analysis I conduct is focused on the near-term in the next few weeks/months of price action, but in what I have done as well it has become clear how comparatively cheap our gas is in comparison to other parts of the world.

In this article: UNG
Natural Gas Declines: Some Seasonality At Play
2 years ago

Thank you for your comment and kind words, Chetan! I began by studying meteorology and the impacts it has within the financial markets, and proceeded to home in on the natural gas market, a market known for swinging wildly due to changes in weather forecasts resulting in different energy demand expectations. To create analysis that was more useful to traders, I decided to pare weather analysis alongside other fundamental/technical analysis into a subscription product, so traders could subscribe and more easily determine when the weather or other fundamentals/technicals were driving price action. Since then, I've been researching other models/theories on price movement to combine alongside the meteorological analysis I conduct. I definitely enjoy posting to this site and plan to continue as regularly as I can.

1 to 2 of 2 comments

STOCKS I FOLLOW

BOIL ProShares Trust II
CHK Chesapeake Energy Corporation
COG Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation
CORN Teucrium Corn ETF
DBA PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund
DGAZ VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN
JJOFF iPath Bloomberg Coffee SubTR ETN
SOYB Teucrium Commodity Trust
SWN Southwestern Energy Co.
UGAZ Credit Suisse VelocityShares 3X Long Natural Gas Exchange Traded Notes 2012- Linked to S&P GSCI Natu
UNG United States Natural Gas Fund LP
USO United States Oil Fund, LP
XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation
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LATEST ACTIVITY

Jacob Meisel
Natural Gas Finally Rebounds With Colder Risks And Tighter Balances $UNG https://t.co/kScG9SPr9H...

Jacob Meisel
Slightly Bearish EIA Number Prevents March Gas Recovery $UNG https://t.co/kkIq8zUQVb
Jacob Meisel
RT Bespoke_Weather: NAT GAS EIA DATA HIT: -78 bcf net implied flow for week ending early February 8th vs. BWS estimate of -82 bcf and mark…
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PERSONAL BLOG

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Work Experience

Chief Weather Analyst
Bespoke Weather Services
May 2015 - Present (3 years 10 months)

I serve as the Chief Weather Analyst and co-founder of Bespoke Weather Services, working with Bespoke Investment Group. I compile research reports using the latest weather data to alert energy (primarily natural gas) traders of upcoming major weather events that will influence market patterns. I similarly speculate in the physical natural gas futures market off of this weather data

Chief Weather Analyst and Founder
SWCT Weather
October 2008 - Present (10 years 6 months)

I serve as the Chief Weather Analyst of SWCT Weather, accurately forecasting localized weather impacts for Southwestern Connecticut and adjacent New York for the past 7 years

Research Assistant
NAVSTAR Advisors
May 2014 - September 2014 (5 months)

Education

Harvard University
Bachelor’s Degree
2013 / 2017
Social Studies (North American Climate and Politics), 3.7.

Publications