Jacob Meisel Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Co-Founder and Chief Analyst at Bespoke Weather Services
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I use the latest numerical weather model guidance and a wide array of fundamental and technical data sets to predict trends in the natural gas market.  At Bespoke Weather Services I compile the latest data into easy-to-read research reports issued ... more

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April Gas Trends Lower On Milder End Of March And Loosening Supply/Demand Balances
The April natural gas contract settled down over 2% today as weather forecasts trended unimpressive through the day with balances doing little to support prices.
Depleting Salt Storage And Firm Cash Keep April Gas Bid
The April natural gas contract rallied a bit over a percent today despite an EIA number that was not quite as bullish as the market consensus.
Shoulder Season Doldrums Keep April Gas Flat
The shoulder season doldrums appear to have arrived for natural gas traders, with the April gas contract losing just a tick on the day as weather models warmed but low storage fears keep the summer curve bid.
Low Storage Concerns Push Gas Prices Higher
April natural gas prices ended the day up almost 1% after bouncing around in the early part of the session. Concerns over low storage levels combined with a colder than normal weather forecast were the culprit for the move up.
Weaker Cash And Briefly Warmer Models Let April Gas Retrace
The April natural contract settled down around a percent and a half as overnight weather models moderated slightly and Henry Hub day-ahead cash prices plunged below $3.
Storage Levels Creeping Lower Keeps Gas Firm
Attention today turned to low storage levels, as a growing storage deficit to last year kept a bid in April natural gas prices, allowing the contract to settle up nearly 3 cents on the day.
Very Strong Cash Cancels Out Weekend HDD Losses
It was a case of dueling catalysts in the natural gas market today, as a day ahead Henry Hub cash prices skyrocketed over $4 early this morning pulling the April gas contract higher but weekend HDD losses prevented any gains from holding.
Exploding Cash Pulls April Gas Higher
What started seemingly like a relatively slow day in the natural gas space quickly turned exciting as physical gas prices shot higher through the morning.
Winter Gas Is Off The Board
The March contract was the only one up on the day, with April selling off the most on warmer mid-day model guidance.
March Gas Spikes On Early March Cold And Strong Cash Into Options Expiry
The March natural gas contract shot over 4% higher on the day today as cash prices traded over $2.85 and afternoon model guidance trended even colder for the first third of March.
Bullish EIA Number Pushes Gas Higher
The March natural gas contract rallied over 2% today as weather model guidance remained bullish and the EIA announced a slightly larger storage draw last week than expected.
March Gas Reverses Ahead Of Tomorrow's Storage Number
The March natural gas contract dipped about a percent on the day as the winter strip dragged down the front on concerns of oversupply following several loose EIA storage numbers.
March To Enter Like A Lion, Bouncing March Gas
March gas settled up almost a percent and a half higher on the day today as Week 2 forecasts trended colder over the weekend and physical gas prices were firm today.
Natural Gas Finally Rebounds With Colder Risks And Tighter Balances
The March natural gas contract rebounded a couple percent today as weather models began adding back demand and weather-adjusted demand continued to impress.
Slightly Bearish EIA Number Prevents March Gas Recovery
The March contract was the only one near flat on the day, as the rest of Cal19 was incredibly weak.
Models Flip Back Warmer And Gas Crashes Lower
After two days of gains on colder weather model guidance, key models flipped warmer last night and again this afternoon to hit the front of the natural gas strip hard.
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