Chief Economist and Strategist
Contributor's Links: Christophe-Barraud.com

After a Master II in Finance, I wrote a thesis in Financial Economics at Paris-Dauphine University (France). Although I enjoyed my time in the academic sphere, the overly theoretical framework and the lack of daily risk-taking led me to pursue a career as a market economist. Being also ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

U.S. CPI’s Shelter Inflation YoY Should Reach A Top Soon
Given that private data suggest that market rents’ growth (YoY) already reached a top, CPI’s Shelter Inflation YoY should follow soon, particularly in a context where housing prices started retracing for the first time since 2012.
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Latest Indicators Confirm That U.S. Inflation Peak YoY Is Behind Us
Despite several Fed members, such as Bullard, aren’t ready to say inflation reached the top, the latest indicators confirm my view that CPI YoY peaked in June at 9.1%.
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Preview: U.S. Existing Home Sales For July Will Decline For A Sixth Straight Month
Tomorrow, the National Association of Realtors will release the U.S. Existing Home Sales for July. My proxies suggest that EHS will contract for a sixth straight month, reflecting weaker demand.
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Existing Home Sales For January Will Beat Estimates
On Friday, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) will release the U.S. Existing Home Sales (EHS) for January. According to the Bloomberg consensus, EHS should decrease by 1.0% MoM to 6.10 million SAAR (v 6.18 million prior).
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Why Is The Federal Reserve Under Pressure To Act Quickly And Strongly Against Inflation?
The Federal Reserve is on track to tighten its monetary policy soon in a context where inflation kept surprising upward both economists and the White House.
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Fed Quantitative Tightening Could Become A Real Option In 2022
The Federal Reserve is not only on track to raise rates faster than expected but can also implement quantitative tightening as soon as 2022.
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Work Experience

Chief Economist, Strategist
Market Securities (Kyte Group)
July 2011 - Present (11 years 8 months)

-Top forecaster of the U.S. [2012-2019], Euro-Area [2015-2019] and Chinese Economy [2017-2019] according to Bloomberg.
- Management of a team (four persons) and external communication through conferences, writing of articles and a presence on social networks
- Development, coordination and production of daily, weekly and quarterly economic reviews
- Supplies a follow-up of the U.S., Eurozone and Chinese economic dynamics

 

Economist, Strategist Assistant
Dexia Securities
June 2009 - June 2011 (2 years 1 month)

- Creation of weekly advanced indicators of the economic and financial situation (among others, real estate index, investor confidence index, risk aversion indicator, economic weekly leading indicator)
- Creation and writing of a monthly review (« Cap Immobilier ») discussing the current issues and prospects in the US real estate market (residential and commercial)
- Analysis of the economic and budgetary situation of the Eurozone’s members
 

Education

Université Paris-Dauphine
Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.)
2009 / 2012
Economics Activities and Societies: Chargé de TD - Microéconomie Industrielle - 3ème année - Microéconomie - 1ère année Thesis in French The informational efficiency of the sports betting market: a parallel with the financial markets -Showing how the sports betting market forms a simplified framework for observations, close enough to stock markets to test the informational efficiency theory
Université Paris-Dauphine
Master of Science (MSc)
2008 / 2009
Finance, General Arbitrage theory and Derivatives Pricing, Financial time-series models, Portfolio Management and Strategies involving options, Macroeconomic Fundamentals for Asset Management, Financial Markets Microstructure, Visual Basic.

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