Christophe Barraud Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Chief Economist and Strategist
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After a Master II in Finance, I wrote a thesis in Financial Economics at Paris-Dauphine University (France). Although I enjoyed my time in the academic sphere, the overly theoretical framework and the lack of daily risk-taking led me to pursue a career as a market economist. Being also ... more


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US Existing Home Sales Dropped To A 7-Month Low
US existing home sales surprised downward in March, hitting a 7-month low. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), they decreased by 3.7% MoM, reaching 6.11M (down from 6.24M prior).
US Existing Home Sales For March Will Decline More Than Expected
Housing affordability has been under pressure since January. On one hand, mortgage rates started rebounding with the 30-year recently hitting the highest level since June 2020 in late March.
US Retail Sales For March Rose Far More Than Expected
US retail sales rebounded sharply in March and beat the Bloomberg consensus (+5.3%e MoM).
Preview: US Retail Sales For March Will Beat Expectations
On Thursday, the Census will release the Advance US Retail Sales report for March.
US Job Growth Surpassed Expectations In March; April Should Be Robust
US jobs growth is likely to remain robust in April.
US New Vehicle Sales For March Smashed Expectations
US new vehicle sales rebounded sharply in March. What is more surprising is that they rose 13.3% MoM, reaching 17.75 million SAAR (highest since December 2017) and largely exceeding expectations of 16.40 million SAAR.
U.S. Real GDP Can Fully Recover From Covid-19 By The End Of 1Q21
If real 1Q21 GDP rises 10.2% on a QoQ annualized basis, it should exceed pre-pandemic level (4Q19).
U.S. New Vehicle Sales Should Rebound In March
Most of the specialists we follow closely are betting on a strong bounce.
U.S. High Frequency Indicators Point To A Sharp Economic Rebound
Following a disappointing month of February where most of the economic indicators came below expectations, high-frequency indicators are now pointing to a sharp economic rebound that should materialize in March figures.
Existing Home Sales Crashed To A 6-Month Low
U.S. existing home sales surprised downward in February, hitting a 6-month low. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), they decreased by 6.6% MoM, reaching 6.22M (down from 6.66M prior).
U.S. 30-Year Mortgage Rates Are No Longer Below 3%
On a 5-day basis, outside of one time during the Covid crisis last spring, it was the biggest percentage rise in mortgage rates on record.
U.S. Housing Prices Index Rose At The Fastest Pace Since April 2014
In December, a measure of U.S. housing prices in 20 cities rose at the fastest pace since April 2014, boosted by record-low mortgage rates and housing inventory.
US Retail Sales Smashed Expectations In January
The value of overall sales increased 5.3% from the prior month, rising the most in seven months.
U.S. New Vehicle Sales Fell To A Three-Month Low In November
U.S. new vehicle sales declined for the second straight month in November and came below expectations.
Preview (S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller) - U.S. Housing Prices Index For October Will Increase By More Than 7.0% YoY
The main index (20-City Composite) beat the consensus last month (+5.30%e YoY), rising by 6.57% YoY in September, up from 5.33% in August. It was the fastest increase YoY since April 2018.
Chinese Seize Over $4 Billion In Cryptoassets
The Block reported yesterday that according court records, Chinese authorities confiscated a total of 194,775 bitcoin, 833,083 ether, 1.4M litecoin,487M XRP, 79.6K bitcoin cash, 27.6M EOS, 74.2K dash, 6 Billion dogecoin, and 213.7K tether.
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