Callum Thomas Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Founder of Topdown Charts
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Callum is the founder of Topdown Charts - a chart driven research house covering global asset allocation and economics. Callum has a background in multi-asset investment strategy on the buyside and has built up strong research and analytical expertise for generating global macro driven ... more

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Green Shoots In Global Equities
With investor sentiment still mostly on the bearish side, particularly on the fundamentals outlook, anything with a bullish slant should be greeted with particular interest.
Sentiment Snapshot: Bullish Technicals, Bearish Fundamentals
Investors appear 'reluctant bulls'; bullish on technicals, yet bearish on fundamentals.
9 Charts On Quantitative Tightening
Quantitative tightening has been running at full speed for almost 5 months now.
Top 5 Charts Of The Week: Economic Trends, Market Signals, Expected Returns
China PPI inflation has moved decisively toward deflation, and that could be a problem for emerging markets.
Tis The Season For Crude Oil
Crude oil had a rough end to 2018 as a number of headwinds drove a swift correction. But so far 2019 has been much kinder to crude, and it could be just the start as headwinds have turned to tailwinds.
Top 5 Charts Of The Week: Global Economic Pulse And Investor Sentiment
Here are some of the standout economic and markets charts on my radar.
A New Bull Market In Gold?
This week we look at an important chart on the gold price outlook as a number of key themes and indicators are starting to shift for gold, and commodities more broadly for that matter.
Emerging Market Imports Crash
One of my favorite global economic data sets to track is the CPB Global Trade Monitor. It's a relatively timely snapshot of global trade trends, and importantly has an emphasis on volumes.
Top 5 Charts Of The Week: Global Macro Currents And Stockmarket Signs
Here are some of the standout economic and markets charts on my radar.
Top 5 Charts Of The Week: Global Deflation Risk, Bear Market Warning, Potential Policy U-Turn
It looks like a global policy u-turn is required. If central banks act fast enough it should only need to be a temporary u-turn.
Top 5 Charts Of The Week: Investor Confidence, Global Trade, Asian Currencies, US Labor Market
Here is a mix of charts covering key global macro trends, and ones which highlight risks and opportunities across asset classes.
China A-Shares: Cheap China
For longer-term investors - buying when valuations are cheap puts the odds in your favor. So maybe after a year where a lot went wrong, perhaps China is due for some better times ahead.
Commodities: Cheap And Out Of Favor
In this report we look at a unique asset class; diversified commodities (in this case using the GSCI Light Energy Index). As the chart says and shows - and as with the title of this blog - commodities are cheap and out of favor.
Fed Rate Hikes Vs HY Credit Spreads
At this stage in the cycle, the burden of proof to own credit is higher than usual, and it will pay to think twice before pushing out the risk curve for the sake of hitting income targets.
Cash Allocations: King Or Trash?
Investors had been running record/cycle low cash allocations going into 2018. But there are a few reasons why this is likely to change.
Global Monetary Policy Map: The Race To Rate Hikes
As central banks around the world continue the policy normalization process, it's important not to lose sight of this late-cycle headwind.
1 to 16 of 344 Posts
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