Avi Gilburt - Comments
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Avi is founder of ElliottWaveTrader.net, a live trading room and member forum focusing on Elliott Wave market analysis. Avi emphasizes a comprehensive reading of charts and wave counts that is free of personal bias or predisposition. A lawyer and ... more

Latest Comments
A Thanksgiving Thought For Metals Investors Who Do Not Appreciate “Alternative” Analysis
2 years ago

COT is a sentiment indicator.. not heavily reliable but it is. It tells how some are positioned. That is not fundamentals.

A Thanksgiving Thought For Metals Investors Who Do Not Appreciate “Alternative” Analysis
2 years ago

Gary, no one was saying this in 2012.. everyone was looking up.

Again, read this to understand why fundamentals will ALWAYS lag:

seekingalpha.com/.../4020394-sentiment-speaks-sentiment-trumps-fundamentals-news

A Thanksgiving Thought For Metals Investors Who Do Not Appreciate “Alternative” Analysis
2 years ago

Gary.. what you still do not understand is that sentiment is what causes fundamentals. It is a logical progression if one actually thinks about it:

seekingalpha.com/.../4020394-sentiment-speaks-sentiment-trumps-fundamentals-news

A Thanksgiving Thought For Metals Investors Who Do Not Appreciate “Alternative” Analysis
2 years ago

I don't agree that they both can have value, since anyone who has followed FA for the last 5 years has been trashed. Why do you need more than what has worked for the last 6 years? THAT is what I don't understand... other than the fact that people use FA as a crutch are just unwilling to part with it, even though it has clearly failed.

A Thanksgiving Thought For Metals Investors Who Do Not Appreciate “Alternative” Analysis
2 years ago

Its easy to say that in hindsight.. especially when all the fundy analysis was looking UP at the time in metals. Just ask anyone who was reading analysis at the time.. it was ALL pointing up. That is why soooooo many got so hurt.

If you have an issue with how I view FA, I suggest you take it up with Prof. Douglas. I think he has a better handle on FA than almost anyone in the world, and has recognized its utter failings.

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