Independent Analyst
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Pater Tenebrarum is an independent analyst and economist/social theorist. He has been involved with financial markets in various capacities for 31 years and currently writes economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy as well as being ... more

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Circling The Drain
As long as the Fed keeps draining excess liquidity from the system, money supply growth rates are unlikely to recover. Expect elevated market volatility to persist over the medium term, with a downward bias.
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The Bear Market Hook
The stock market correction into late December was of approximately the same size as the mid 2015/early 2016 twin downturns, so this is not an idle question.
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Season’s Greetings
This year turned out to be quite an interesting and exciting year – in the Chinese curse sense, that is.
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The Stock Market On FOMC Day – Buy Or Sell The News?
The market is likely close to a short term low by now – at least in time. It is not necessarily close to a low in price, as that really depends on how much more fear is going to creep in over coming days and/or weeks.
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A Global Dearth Of Liquidity
Although y/y money supply growth in the euro zone and Japan is still fairly strong for the moment, the trend is definitely no longer supportive.
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Debt, Death, And The US Empire
In a talk which garnered little attention, one of the Deep State’s prime operatives, National Security Advisor John Bolton, cautioned of the enormous and escalating US debt.
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