Independent Analyst
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Pater Tenebrarum is an independent analyst and economist/social theorist. He has been involved with financial markets in various capacities for 31 years and currently writes economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy as well as being ... more

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EC The Liquidity Drought Gets Worse
The continuing slowdown in money supply growth represents a palpable threat to the bubble in asset prices.
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Long Term Stock Market Sentiment Remains As Lopsided As Ever
A brief update on indicators that are of medium to long-term relevance to prospective stock market returns.
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A Trip Down Memory Lane – 1928-1929 Vs. 2018-2019
It has become abundantly clear by now that the late 2018 swoon was not yet the beginning of the end of the stock market bubble – at least not right away.
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The Gold Debate – Where Do Things Stand In The Gold Market?
Despite the fact that gold fundamentals are still not unequivocally bullish, there are signs that investors are increasingly receptive to the idea of buying some gold for insurance purposes.
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Circling The Drain
As long as the Fed keeps draining excess liquidity from the system, money supply growth rates are unlikely to recover. Expect elevated market volatility to persist over the medium term, with a downward bias.
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The Bear Market Hook
The stock market correction into late December was of approximately the same size as the mid 2015/early 2016 twin downturns, so this is not an idle question.
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