Mish Shedlock Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Investment Advisor Representative - Sitka Pacific Capital Management

Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market ... more

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Yield Curve Still Inverted Despite Fed Rate Cut
Huge portions of the yield curve remain inverted, just not as deep as a few weeks ago.
Existing Home Sales Rise More Than Expected, Return To 2016-2017 Levels
Existing home sales were better than expected in August. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun credits falling interest rates.
Technically Speaking, Bitcoin Ripe For Major Move: Which Way?
Bitcoin has been consolidating for months. Generally, and technically speaking, this suggests a big move is coming.
QE Debate: What Did Powell Mean By "Need To Resume Balance Sheet Growth"?
Perhaps the Fed wanted to open the door for more QE later but without alarming the market.
Fed's 2019 Interest Rate Expectations Vs Market's Expectations
The Fed's view of where interest rates are headed in 2019 is quite different from market expectations.
Fed Cuts Rates 1/4 Percent, Three Dissents: Dot Plot Suggests No More 2019 Hikes
The Fed cut interest rates 25 basis point to a target of 1.75% to 2.00%. There were three dissents.
Housing Starts Jump 12.3%, Permits 7.7%, Completions, 2.4%
Likely spurred on by falling interest rates, housing starts and permits jumped in August.
Death Of Shopping Malls And Department Stores In Five Charts
Traditional retailers are getting killed by online shopping, especially Amazon. Five charts tell the story.
Rate Cut Odds Dip Below 50% From 92% A Week Ago
The market has given the Fed a free swing as rate cut odds dip to 47%.
US Overnight Interest Rate Surges To 10%, Fed Injects Emergency $75 Billion
Someone was in serious need of cash and got it.
Percentage Of Healthcare Uninsured Jumps From 8.0% In 2017 To 9.1% In 2019
A census report on health insurance coverage shows the first increase in the number of uninsured since Obamacare.
Oil Shock, Crude Surges 20%, Treasuries Untouched: One Is Wrong, Which One?
In the wake of the attack on Saudi Arabia, crude futures jumped as much as 20%. Treasury yields are flat. One is wrong!
Drone Strikes Shut Down Half Of Saudi Arabia Oil Production
Drone strikes on Saudi refineries have led to a shutdown that amounts to a loss of some five million barrels a day, roughly 5% of the world’s daily production of crude. Oil futures will jump as soon as they open trading tomorrow evening.
Cass Freight Index Down 9th Month "Signaling Economic Contraction”
Year-over-year freight volume is down nine consecutive months starting December of 2018.
Auto Sales Surge 1.8% In August, Spending Flat Ex-Autos
Despite reports of SUVs piling up on dealer lots, the Census Bureau's Advance Monthly Retail Sales report shows autos are leading the way.
Hyperinflation Returns To Zimbabwe, 70% Interest Rate And 230% Inflation
Zimbabwe raised its benchmark interest rate to 70% in an attempt to curtail a second round of hyperinflation.
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