Matt Weller Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Experienced Portfolio Manager | CFA and CMT Charterholder
Contributor's Links: Faraday Research

Matthew is a portfolio manager (US Equities and FX) at Faraday Research where he is responsible for the production and management of US Real Time Trader (large-cap US Equities) and US FX Daily (G10 currency pairs) products. Subscribers include some of the world's leading brokerages and ... more

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WTI Tests A Two-Week High Above 63.00 As Trump “Hopes” US Can Avoid War With Iran
Oil prices have generally tracked risk appetite so far this week, dropping sharply on Monday before recovering over the last three days. Today’s rally has been supercharged by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
Dollar Index Uptrend Intact, Bulls Watching For A Break Above 97.70
The US Dollar Index was able to shrug off the weaker-than-expected April Retail Sales report, but it finally succumbed to selling pressure on news that President Trump would delay tariffs on EU automobiles.
EUR/USD Coiled For A Breakout, Near-Term Bias Bearish Below 1.1260
From a longer-term perspective, EUR/USD remains in a well-defined downtrend since peaking back in September.
USD/JPY Hits 3-Month Lows Near 109.00 On Trade War Risk Aversion
Looking at USD/JPY, rates have now broken definitively below the late March low near 109.75 after forming an “inside candle” on Friday, shifting the near-term trend to bearish.
China’s Trade Retaliation Has USD/CNH Bulls Eyeing Decade-Plus Highs Near 7.00
For now, USD/CNH looks like it may have a date with 7.00, and as long as trade rhetoric remains incendiary, traders will want to strap in more volatility out of USD/CNH and global markets broadly.
Three Trade Deal Scenarios And What They Mean For The S&P 500
Major US stock indices are trading lower by about 1% midday after the US more than doubled its tariffs on $250B in Chinese goods overnight (though European and some Asian indices are shrugging off the news so far).
Bitcoin Bursts Back Above 6,000
The world’s oldest crypto asset has rallied nearly 100% from its mid-December lows to regain the 6k handle for the first time since November.
Why The Stakes In This Week’s US-China Trade Talks Couldn’t Be Higher For Markets
At the risk of stating the obvious, the trading relationship between the planet’s two largest economies has a dramatic impact on every single market across the globe.
Will The S&P 500 Shrug Off US-China Trade Fears?
From a technical perspective, the S&P 500’s bullish trend remains intact. Despite today’s gap lower, the index remains in the middle of its recent bullish channel, above its upward-trending 50-day moving average.
What Bulls And Bears Are Saying As BYND’s IPO Goes “Beyond” Parabolic
BYND sits at the crossroads of several major secular trends, including fears about climate change, a focus on healthier eating, and the growing popularity of veganism/vegetarianism.
NFP Preview: Traders More “In The Dark” Than Usual
“Time flies when you’re having fun”, and sure enough, it’s already time for another Non-Farm Payrolls report.
FOMC Recap: Technical Tweaks Do Little To Dissuade Doves
With little else to go on, we expect the downgrade to the central bank’s inflation assessment to take center stage in Chairman Powell’s upcoming press conference.
FOMC Preview: IOER Cut Possible, But Neutral Outlook Likely For Another Month
This month’s meeting is more likely to provide an update to how the central bank is viewing the US economy, rather than any immediate changes to monetary policy.
EUR/USD Retests 1.1200 To Kick Off A Busy Week
After potentially the quietest quarter in its history, the world’s most widely-traded currency pair finally broke out last week…but the big question for traders is “will it hold?”
BOC Drops Its Hawkish Bias, USD/CAD Breaks Above 1.3500
To the surprise of no informed market participant, the Bank of Canada left interest rates unchanged at 1.75% in today’s monetary policy meeting.
USA! USA! USA! Dollar Index And S&P 500 Test Highs As Traders Pile Into US Assets
Global capital is flooding into US markets as many traders return from a long holiday weekend.
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