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Latest Posts
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S&P 500 Powers To New Record
For the third time in three months, the Federal Reserve lowered its key interest rate by a quarter percentage point. Stocks advanced in the wake of the Fed’s policy decision, with the S&P 500 index hitting a record of $3,046.
The Retreat Of The Safe Heavens
September proved to be a mean-reverting month for Treasuries and Gold. Following last month’s +11% and+8% moves respectively, Treasuries corrected by -2.6% while Gold retreated -3.3%.
Beyond Tariffs: Tech Cold War And Hardplay?
There was a new escalation to the US-China relations that crosses beyond tariffs which one may argue is a negotiating tactic or a populist political card. Plus an update on European Elections, Bitcoin, dececntralized finance, and more.
Recovery Priced In
We are now in a situation where the S&P500 has completely reversed last year’s correction and has a year-to-date performance of +18 %. The question is, can the index continue higher?
Thank You. Fed (Again)
Federal Reserve announced that it will leave its benchmark rate unchanged at 2.25% to 2.50%, also indicating that no rate hikes would be likely this year. This is a substantial change in stance.
Inverse Volatility Trading – A Smart Investment Strategy For Income
Since 2011, trading inverse volatility has been the one of the most rewarding investment strategy in the markets with annual returns well above 30%, depending on the instruments used.
Enhancing Harry Browne’s Permanent Portfolio Strategy Using ETFs And Monthly Rebalancing
Harry Browne called it the Permanent Portfolio because he believed that once an investor sets it up, they never have to re-arrange the allocations even if the outlook of the markets change.
How To Create A Hedge Strategy In Times Of Market Troubles
In this article I would like to explain how to create a hedge strategy for an equity position, so that draw-downs, like the current one (December 2018), are minimized.
Logical Invest Investment Outlook - July 2018
General investor sentiment is quite bearish. The most recent AAII Investor Sentiment survey shows only 28% of investors believe the markets will do well in the next 6 months, while 40% are bearish and 30% are neutral.
ZIV/MYRS – How To Go On After The Crash
This VIX Future spread price of -1.30$ is a very rare occasion. Normally the curve is in contango which means that the further out a VIX future is, the more expensive it is.
Logical Invest Investment Outlook - August 2017
The VIX index hit a record low on July 26th, falling temporarily to 8.84, a level last seen back in 1993. Moreover the index stayed under the 10 level for 10 consecutive days showing persistence.
Logical Invest Investment Outlook - July 2017
The U.S. Federal Reserve raised its benchmark federal-funds rate on June 15th by a quarter percentage point and hinted to further hikes. Individual investors remain skeptical of the bull market as the AAII survey shows 43.4% being neutral.
Logical Invest Investment Outlook - May 2017
As we are heading into early summer, most assets classes are performing well partly due to a weakening U.S. dollar. Domestic equity continues to reach new highs, foreign and emerging equity markets are up.
The Long-Short US Sector Rotation Strategy
The following paper will explain how to build a U.S. sector rotation strategy which allocates dynamically between 4 different long US sector rotation strategies and one short US sector rotation strategy.
Logical Invest Investment Outlook - April 2017
For the second time in three months, the Federal Reserve increased its benchmark interest rate a quarter point taking the overnight funds rate to a target range of 0.75 percent to 1 percent.
EC Strategies For Trading Inverse Volatility
If you trade inverse volatility, which means going short VIX, you play the role of an insurer who sells worried investors an insurance policy to protect them from falling stock markets.
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