Ilya Spivak Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Head Strategist, APAC
Contributor's Links: DailyFX

FX and macro strategist leading APAC-facing team at DailyFX, the research and analysis arm of IG Group.

  • Over 15 years of experience applying a global macro approach to trading currencies
  • Focused on market analysis and strategy since 2008 after 3 years across FX sales ... more

Articles

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Gold Prices May Fall Further As US Jobs Data Drives Fed Outlook
Gold prices sank as signs of economic recovery stoked suspicions about the durability of ultra-loose Fed monetary policy. The 5-year breakeven rate – a proxy for priced-in inflation expectations – fell with the yellow metal as the data printed.
Gold Prices May Fall As Market Rout Resumes, Boosting US Dollar
Gold prices are treading water in a familiar range above the $1800/oz mark. Crude oil prices are marking time just below the $54/bbl figure. A daily close above that may bring the $56/bbl mark into view.
US Dollar Aims Higher As Liquidation Sweeps Global Stock Markets
US Dollar on the upswing as Wall Street leads global stock market rout.
Yen, Dollar May Extend Rise As Stocks Fall After China Drains Liquidity
US Dollar and Yen up, stocks down as China pulls US$12bil from the banking system.
Crude Oil Prices May Turn Lower As Market Risk Appetite Sours
Crude oil prices rose yesterday, shrugging off souring risk appetite across broader financial markets that might have been expected to weigh on the cyclically-sensitive commodity.
British Pound Jumps As UK, EU Opt To Extend Brexit Negotiations
The British Pound is set to start the week on a high note after UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson and EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen agreed to continue Brexit talks in hopes of scoring a last-minute deal.
Crude Oil Prices Seesaw On Iraq Oil Well Attack, US Inventory Surge
Crude oil prices are struggling to find lasting direction cues. Gold prices fell as fizzling risk appetite drove the haven US Dollar higher, undermining the appeal of anti-fiat alternatives epitomized by the yellow metal.
Gold Prices May Struggle Despite Chart Break If US Yields Rise
Gold prices continued to rise for a second day, edging up to a two-week high. A downswing in Treasury yields appeared to drive the move upward, boosting the metal’s appeal as an alternative store of value.
US Dollar May Rise As FOMC Minutes Flag Fed Policy Standstill
The Greenback found a floor just as the yield advantage enjoyed by benchmark 10-year US Treasury bonds against major international alternatives began to cautiously expand.
Crude Oil Prices May Rise If EU Summit Stokes Brexit Deal Hopes
Crude oil prices tracked lower alongside stocks as risk appetite soured in Wall Street trade. The pace-setting S&P 500 equities benchmark fell for a second consecutive day, suffering the largest daily drawdown in three weeks.
Crude Oil, Gold Prices May Fall Further If US GDP Data Disappoints
Crude oil prices sank alongside stocks as risk appetite soured across global financial markets. The WTI benchmark suffered its biggest one-day drop in almost two months. The S&P 500 stock index suffered the largest setback since June.
Crude Oil Prices May Rise On US Stimulus Hopes, PMI Data
A brighter view of the near-term business cycle might keep crude oil prices supported in the near term. A lasting rally seems unlikely however as weak demand continues to weigh.
Gold Prices May Rise As Trump, Biden Talk Up Stimulus
Gold prices are digesting losses after Tuesday’s sharp selloff. That seemed to be inspired by an updated set of global economic growth projections from the IMF.
Crude Oil Prices Pressured As Supply Blocks In Norway, Libya Ease
Crude oil prices recoiled from range resistance in the 42.40-43.88 area. A downswing from here sees initial support in the 34.64-36.15 zone, with a daily close below that exposing the 27.40-30.73 inflection region.
Crude Oil Prices May Be Capped By US Stimulus Uncertainty
Crude oil prices are drifting sideways below the $44/bbl figure. A breach of resistance in the 42.40-43.88 area – confirmed on a daily closing basis – may open the door for buyers to challenge the upside hurdle clustered around the $50/bbl mark.
Gold Prices Flirt With Trend Reversal As US Jobs Data Looms Ahead
Gold prices slipped past trend line support guiding them higher since March, warning that a major top is in place. Crude oil prices broke down from a Rising Wedge chart pattern, as expected.
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