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High Volatility Trades
Although COVID-19, crude oil prices, and government fiscal actions remain undefined and uncertain, options and futures indicators began suggesting the oversold S&P 500 Index may have reached a turning point.
Volatility Highs
Fear of undefined potential damage to the global economy from COVID-19, declining crude oil prices and government fiscal actions dominated the news last week pushing all asset prices around, some in unexpected directions.
Uncertainty & Gold
For several weeks, after paying little attention to potential long-term damage to the global economy from Covid-19, suddenly last Thursday the S&P 500 Index responded while gold and other safe haven assets attracting money flows all last week.
Amidst Uncertainty Crude Oil Oversold Bounce
Despite differing opinions and continuing uncertainty about the long-term damage to the global economy from the coronavirus, now labeled Covid-19, the S&P 500 Index made new intraday or closing highs every day last week.
Buying The Dip
Of the several stories told by the equity markets last week, "buying the dip" that began last Monday gets top billing.
Hedging Uncertainty
Last week, the markets, equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities, and shipping rates all reacted to uncertainty about the potential damage the coronavirus could do to global growth.
SPX Makes Multiple New Highs
S&P 500 Index (SPX) 3329.62 climbed 64.27 points or +1.97% last week, making multiple new closing and intraday highs.
7 Bull Chart Story
Markets were thin last week on light volume and this week should be the same.
SPY Holiday Calendar Spread
Equity market bulls are believers as the S&P 500 Index made new closing and intraday highs four of five days last week.
SPY Put Spread Hedge
Those bulls still roaming global equity markets on Friday were delighted by a better than expected U.S. employment report that sent the bears and hedgers scrambling to cover and unwind short positions after the S&P 500 Index gapped up at the opening.
VXST Better Correlation Indicator Update
Although the VIX futures and options indicators remain bullish, the short-term VXST correlation indicator turned positive on Friday suggesting more downside risk this week ahead of Friday's employment report.
VIX Correlation Indicator Update
The VIX Correlation saga continues again for the third week as the S&P 500 Index made two more new intraday highs along with a new closing high last Monday.
AMD Volatility Trade Report
S&P 500 Index (SPX) 3066.91 advanced another 44.36 points or +1.47% last week closing at a new high just below a new intraday high of 3066.95.
VIX Correlation Indicator
Although futures and options indicators remain bullish, the VIX correlation increased enough last week to suggest increasing option activity in anticipation of an overdue pullback.
AMD Volatility Trade Report - Monday, November 4
S&P 500 Index (SPX) 3066.91 advanced another 44.36 points or +1.47% last week closing at a new high just below a new intraday high of 3066.95.
Semiconductor Sector Brightens Outlook
S&P 500 Index 3022.55 edged up another 36.35 points or +1.22% last week closing above the September 19 high at 3021.99.
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