David Templeton Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Portfolio Manager & Principal, HORAN Capital Advisors
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David Templeton, Portfolio Manager & Principal, is a senior strategist and advisor at HORAN Capital Advisors. David has extensive experience in portfolio construction, security selection,development of investment policies and portfolio allocation strategies for individual and institutional ... more


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Yield Curve In Focus And Sentiment
The equity markets do not move higher in a straight line and the broader indices are not down much from their highs; however, individual investor sentiment is leaning towards overly bearish.
Inflation And The Equity Market
The recent release of Federal Reserve minutes gave investors a reason to reevaluate the pace of future Fed tightening. The minutes led investors to believe the Fed might raise rates in the first half of this year and maybe even as soon as March.
Dogs Of The Dow Performance Does Not Keep Pace In 2021
In this past year, the 'Dogs of the Dow' strategy did not keep pace with either the Dow Jones Index or the S&P 500 Index. The Dow Dogs generated a total return of 16.3% versus 20.8% for the DJIA and 28.7% for the S&P 500 Index.
Record Stock Buybacks And Record Dividends In Q3 2021
S&P Dow Jones Indices recently reported preliminary buyback and dividend data for the S&P 500 Index through the third quarter and records were achieved for both.
Investor Fear At An Extreme And Stocks Rise
Just as investors become fearful of stocks, the equity market experiences a turnaround.
Inflation Contributes To Higher October Retail Sales
Wednesday's October retail sales report showed a strong retail sales increase, month over month (MoM) of 1.7% and a year over year (YoY) increase of 16.3%.
Inflation Dents Consumer Sentiment
This past week saw inflation reported at a very hot level, up .9% month-over-month and 6.2% year-over-year. If this monthly rate is annualized, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is up over 10%. Let's take a look.
A Mixed Labor Market Report
Last Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls was reported at 531,000, better than expectations of 450,000, and the prior report for nonfarm payrolls was revised higher to 312,000 from 194,000. This brings the recovery from the pandemic low to 18.5 million.
A Weak GDP Report For Q3 2021
Thursday's GDP report provided some support to our post earlier this week noting economic growth stalled in the third quarter.
An Economy Nearing Stall Speed In Q3 2021
There has been mixed data on the economy of late due to the pandemic shutdown and subsequent reopening along with the resultant clogged supply chain.
Seasonally Positive Period For The Equity Market
The S&P 500 Index is on pace to finish 2021 with strong performance, up 22.39% so far. This year follows strong returns in 2019 and 2020, up 31.49% and 18.40%, respectively. The later half of the year is a historically strong period for the index. 
Where Are The Potential New Hires?
The issue around jobs is certainly having a negative impact on small business optimism.
Sidelined Workers Might Restrict Economic Growth Prospects
The inability for companies to hire is occurring at a time when job openings are high and the number of individuals unemployed is high.
Investor Bullish Sentiment Lowest Since July 2020
This week's Sentiment Survey report showed bullish sentiment fell over 16 percentage points to 22.45% versus the prior week. This is the lowest bullishness reading since the end of July, 2020 reading of 20.23%.
Job Openings Accelerating
Today's release of the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) shows the demand for employees continues to grow. The JOLTS report is released with a one-month lag, but July's figures are indicative of a very strong demand for employees.
Earnings Growth Beginning To Trend Towards More Normal Level
As the economic environment nears a more normal rate of growth, other variables begin to normalize as well with a critical one being earnings.
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